Bovada’s Tour de France Betting Odds for Stage 16 Favor Pogacar (-350)

Written By:

Zachary Kelley

Published On:

July 21, 2025 2:40 PM

Bovada’s Tour de France Betting Odds for Stage 16 Favor Pogacar (-350) - Tadej Pogacar, Thymen Arensman
  • Tour de France betting odds for Tuesday’s Stage 16 favor Tadej Pogacar at -350 odds.
  • Bovada Sportsbook lists Jonas Vingegaard as his only real competition at +800 odds, while all other riders have +2500 odds or longer to win Stage 16.
  • Fade the top ranked climber Lenny Martinez and bet Thymen Arensman (+2500) as the best longshot to pull the upset.

MONTPELLIER, France – Stage 16 betting odds heavily favor Tour de France leader Tadej Pogacar at -350 odds. His convincing legal sports betting odds show Pogacar will win the classic summit finish on the legendary Mount Ventoux.

Tour de France Stage 16 Betting Odds

  • Tadej Pogacar -350
  • Jonas Vingegaard +800
  • Florian Lipowitz +2500
  • Lenny Martinez +2500
  • Thymen Arensman +2500
  • Felix Gall +2800
  • Ben O’Connor +4000
  • Harold Tejada +4000
  • Matteo Jorgenson +4000
  • Michael Woods +4000
  • Santiago Buitrago +4000
  • Sepp Kuss +4000

Pogacar enters Tuesday’s stage with an impressive 4:13 lead over 2022 and 2023 winner Jonas Vingegaard. The Danish rider has +800 odds to win the 171-kilometer Stage 16, which includes an exciting intermediate sprint and plenty of flat racing before the climb of Mount Ventoux.

Since most of the stage is relatively flat, betting on cycling top climbers like polka dot jersey holder Lenny Martinez comes with a risk. Instead, bet on a breakaway rider like Thymen Arensman to make a move in Stage 16 with +2500 odds.

Best Tour de France Long Shot: Thymen Arensman +2500

Arensman is the best bet to contend with Pogacar in Stage 16. Though he’s certainly on the outside looking in, his combination of attacking and climbing skills (third-ranked climber) makes him a formidable option at a juicy price.

Betting $100 on Arensman to win Stage 16 at Bovada would win $2,500. Meanwhile, betting $100 on Pogacar’s favored -350 odds would only net an extra $28.57.

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Ben Fiore

Zachary Kelley

Zach graduated from Florida State University with a degree in Writing, Editing, and Media. Zach is interested in the legalization aspect of sports betting and enjoys participating in DFS. He has a passion for sports writing and most enjoys writing about football and baseball both professional and collegiate.