- Jose Delgado has -145 odds to win against Nathaniel Wood in the earlier bouts of the day.
- On the first UFC undercard event, Aleksandr Rakic and Azamat Murzakanov have a pick em matchup.
- Tom Aspinall is a massive favorite over Cyril Gane in the main event, as the heavyweight titleholder fights again.
ABU DHABI – In the main event of UFC 321, Tom Aspinall takes on Ciryl Gane as a heavy favorite. The heavyweight titleholder hasn’t fought in a year and a half but has won his last three bouts by KO/TKO.
A hard hitter, 12 of his last 14 fights have ended in the first round, evident by UFC betting sites favoring him to win in Round 1, 2 or 3 (-200 odds).
As for Cyril Gane, he hasn’t had the best results in his last five, at 3-2. Fighting only once in the last two years, Gane often wins by decision or (late) TKOs.
Though UFC sportsbooks have Aspinall as a -390 favorite, bettors can cheapen these odds by selecting a prop bet on Bovada instead.
- Tom Aspinall to Win & Round 2 to Start -120
Aleksandr Rakic vs Azamat Murzakanov
In a battle of some light heavyweights near the middle of the UFC rankings, #7 Aleksandr Rakic takes on #10 Azamat Murzakanov in a pick em.
Rakic is 0-3 in his last three fights (losing two by TKO) and has fought twice since 2024. As for Murzakanov, he’s 5-0 in the UFC (15-0 overall), with four TKO/KOs on the UFC stage.
With two performances of the night, Murzakanov could be the favorite here, but he isn’t. A tough UFC bout to bet on, it might be easier to add this leg to your parlay: The fight to complete 1 Full Round at -385 odds.
Nathaniel Wood vs Jose Delgado
In one of the earlier fights of the night, Nathaniel Wood takes on Jose Delgado at 11:45 a.m. ET.
For Wood, the last eight of his bouts went to decision (6-2 record) while his first few came with quicker endings. As for Delgado, he’s only 2-0 in the UFC but has made his case known. Winning two bouts in Round 1 by ground strikes, Delgado comes in with a great advantage.
- Wood: 5’6”, 69” reach
- Delgado: 5’11”, 73″ reach
With Delgado having fought in London this year in March, we’re taking Jose Delgado to win by KO, TKO or DQ at +185 odds.
Those looking for a safer legal sports betting play might arbitrage two decisions: A KO/TKO/DQ finish at +125 odds and a Decision finish at +110.
This way, as long as a submission victory doesn’t occur, bettors will return a 10-25% return.
