- Morocco is being underestimated by World Cup sportsbooks with long +240 three-way moneyline odds against Netherlands.
- Netherlands’ clean sheet drought (7 matches) against Morocco’s 32-match unbeaten streak inside 90 minutes gives value to the both teams to score (-112)
- Morocco’s leading scorer Ismael Saibari has spent six years playing in the Dutch Eredivisie and has +270 odds to score his fourth goal of the tournament.
MONTERREY, Mexico – Morocco are +240 longshots to win in regulation and +130 underdogs to advance against Netherlands on Monday night. An intriguing clash between Morocco’s unbeaten streak and Netherlands’ streak of conceding goals adds intrigue to the 90-minute draw at +210 odds.
Netherlands vs. Morocco Betting Lines
| Team | Spread | Win | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | 0, -0.5 (-105) | +130 | O2.0 (-148) |
| Morocco | 0, +0.5 (-112) | +240 | U2.5 (-145) |
| Draw | – | +210 | – |
Morocco has gone 32 consecutive fixtures unbeaten through 90 minutes across competitive and friendly matches. On the other side, Netherlands has allowed at least one goal in seven-consecutive matches, including all three World Cup group stage matches.
There are -112 odds at World Cup betting sites for both teams to score, with Morocco (-220) less likely to clear their 0.5-goal projection than Netherlands (-330). However, Morocco’s only conceding 0.09 expected goals (xG) per shot, while Netherlands are allowing 1.39 xG per 90 minutes.
Saibari Best Bet To Score For Morocco
Data and legal sports betting odds suggest that Morocco will score on Monday night, and Ismael Saibari is the best bet to find net. Saibari has +270 odds to score against a defensive style he is plenty familiar with, as Saibari has spent six years in the best Dutch soccer league with PSV Eindhoven.
Saibari scored in all three group stage matches for Morocco and has a great understanding of Dutch tactical tendencies, play style, and individual defenders. The +270 odds at Mexico sports betting sites offers exceptional value for Saibari to score against a nation that’s shaped his professional career.
