- Jermiah Smith props offer -325 odds for him to score a touchdown anytime, the shortest price on either roster, and +320 to score first.
- Smith leads the FBS with 617 receiving yards and ties for the lead with seven touchdown catches.
- Iowa’s nation-best 8.0 points allowed per game includes shutouts of Northern Illinois and FCS Northern Iowa.
- Ohio State is a 14-point favorite with a total of 45.5, which puts the Buckeyes near 30 points.
IOWA CITY, Iowa – Jeremiah Smith props start at -325 for an anytime touchdown when the No. 5 Ohio State Buckeyes visit the No. 14 Iowa Hawkeyes, the shortest price on either roster. Smith leads the FBS with 617 receiving yards and ties for the FBS lead with seven touchdown catches after a 12-catch, 217-yard, four-touchdown game against the Illinois Fighting Illini.
Smith Is -325 To Score And Has Scored In Three Of Four
Smith is -325 to score anytime, +320 to score first and +650 to score three or more. At -325 a ticket breaks even if he scores in 76.5% of games, and he has scored in three of four, missing only in the 59-3 win over Kent State, when he caught five passes for 85 yards.
The three-touchdown price asks for a repeat of Illinois, the only one of his four games in which he has reached three. His 12 catches and 217 yards in the 42-19 win were career highs, and his four touchdown catches tied the Ohio State record for a game. Ohio State’s next-shortest anytime price is Bo Jackson at -157, and Iowa’s shortest is running back Kamari Moulton at +125.
Across legal sports betting markets, the Saturday numbers read:
| Market | Odds | Implies |
|---|---|---|
| Ohio State -14 | -118 | 54.1% |
| Ohio State moneyline | -650 | 86.7% |
| Iowa moneyline | +450 | 18.2% |
| Over 45.5 | -110 | 52.4% |
| Smith anytime touchdown | -325 | 76.5% |
| Smith first touchdown | +320 | 23.8% |
| Smith 3+ touchdowns | +650 | 13.3% |
| Bo Jackson anytime touchdown | -157 | 61.1% |
| Kamari Moulton anytime touchdown | +125 | 44.4% |
No Yardage Line Yet, But A 154.3-Yard Average To Measure It
No receiving-yards line for Smith had been posted by Friday morning. He averages 154.3 yards a game on 18.7 yards per catch and has topped 150 in three of four games: 151 against Ball State, 164 in the 24-23 loss at Texas and 217 against Illinois. Kent State, at 85 yards, is the exception.
Ohio State has thrown for 1,461 yards and 13 touchdowns, and Smith owns 617 of those yards and seven of the scores. That concentration is why his touchdown price is so much shorter than his teammates’.
Iowa’s 8.0 Points Allowed Rests On Two Shutouts
Iowa has allowed 8.0 points a game, the best mark in the FBS, but all 32 points it has allowed came in two games: 13 in a 16-13 win over Iowa State and 19 in a 20-19 win at Michigan, decided by Hank Brown’s touchdown pass to Reece Vander Zee on the final play.
The shutouts came against Northern Illinois, 40-0, and FCS Northern Iowa, 55-0.
Against its two Power Four opponents Iowa has allowed 16.0 points a game, and Ohio State has scored 32.5 a game against its two, 23 at Texas and 42 against Illinois, compared with 45.0 overall.
The 14-point spread and 45.5 total work out to about 30 points for the Buckeyes and 16 for the Hawkeyes, so the number sits at Ohio State’s Power Four pace rather than its season average. A 30-point day is roughly four touchdowns, and on the college football betting board Smith’s -325 is the shortest claim on one of them.
Ohio State’s First Kinnick Trip Since 2017
The Buckeyes last played at Kinnick Stadium in 2017, a 55-24 loss, and the game is sold out. Smith did not appear on Ohio State’s first injury report of the week, which listed three players out.
