- The moneyline has the Dallas Stars at -183 and the St. Louis Blues at +158, and the total is 6 with the over at -112.
- Dallas won 26 of 41 at home last season, a 63.4% rate against the 64.7% a -183 ticket needs to break even.
- Dallas won by two or more goals in only 11 of 41 home games, the margin Stars -1.5 at +142 requires.
- St. Louis went 37-33-12 with a -27 goal differential and 10-16-0 inside the Central Division.
DALLAS – The Dallas Stars open their season at home Friday as -183 favorites over the St. Louis Blues, who are also playing their first game. Puck drop is 9 p.m. ET on TNT, and the Texas sports betting total is 6. Only the Vegas Golden Knights, at -190 against the Anaheim Ducks, carry a heavier price on the five-game NHL slate.
Dallas Priced Close To Its Home Record
The Stars went 50-20-12 last season, good for 112 points and second place in the Central Division, with a +53 goal differential. Their home record was 26-11-4. That 63.4% win rate sits just under the 64.7% a -183 ticket needs to break even, so the price at legal sports betting sites asks for slightly more than last season delivered. Neither team has played a regular-season game, so last season is the only full sample.
| Bet | Odds | Implies |
|---|---|---|
| Dallas Stars moneyline | -183 | 64.7% |
| St. Louis Blues moneyline | +158 | 38.8% |
| Dallas Stars -1.5 | +142 | 41.3% |
| Over 6 | -112 | 52.8% |
| Under 6 | -108 | 51.9% |
St. Louis Went 10-16-0 In Central Division Games
The Blues’ 37-33-12 record produced 86 points, 26 fewer than Dallas, and came with a -27 goal differential. The Stars went 17-6-3 against Central Division opponents to the Blues’ 10-16-0. St. Louis did win 17 of 41 road games, 41.5%, a shade above the 38.8% a +158 ticket needs. On road results the underdog holds the small cushion, though 41 games is too few to separate a gap of under three points from noise.
The Puck Line Needs A Margin Dallas Rarely Had
Stars -1.5 breaks even at 41.3%, but Dallas won by two or more goals in just 11 of its 41 home games, or 27%. Head-to-head margins were thinner still. Dallas won three of four meetings last season, 3-2, 4-3 and 5-4, each by a single goal, and the Blues took the other 3-1. Stars -1.5 would have missed all three, which makes it the harder way to back the favorite in NHL betting.
The Total Sits On Both Teams’ Scoring Norm
Games involving Dallas averaged 6.16 goals last season and games involving St. Louis 5.96, so a total of 6 lands on the scoring norm for both clubs, with near-even prices on the over and under.
