- The Patriots are 5-1 ATS as road underdogs since 2025 and are 3-point underdogs at Chicago tonight.
- D’Andre Swift has gone under 61.5 rushing yards in four of his last five games.
- Hunter Henry has topped 34.5 receiving yards in four of six games this season.
CHICAGO – The New England Patriots are road underdogs for Thursday Night Football at the Chicago Bears, as legal sports betting sites favor the Bears by 3. Since 2025, New England is 5-1 ATS when playing on the road as underdogs and is a great bet tonight to continue that trend.
While the Patriots got off to a rough start, they have won their last three games by a total of 38 points. They also have the ninth-best defense this season against the run, allowing only 91 rushing yards per game.
Fade D’Andre Swift
D’Andre Swift’s rushing total is 61.5 at NFL betting sites for Thursday Night Football, and he has only cleared this line twice this season and has gone under in four of his last 5. Over his last three games, Swift is averaging 48.3 yards per game.
Kyle Monangai being ruled out does hurt the case for the under slightly, but Roschon Johnson proved to be adequate last week by putting up more rushing yards than Swift on three fewer carries against the Falcons.
Back Hunter Henry Over 34.5 Receiving Yards
The Chicago Bears also have a top-ten defense against the run, paving the way for the Patriots to keep the ball in the air. Hunter Henry has been one of Maye’s favorite targets this season, having the second-most receptions of the season with 19 (Romeo Doubs has 20).
The Patriots tight end has recorded over 34.5 receiving yards in four of his six games played. Over his last three games, Henry has averaged 51.3 receiving yards. The Bears allowed 60 receiving yards to Kyle Pitts in Week Five and 64 receiving yards to Tucker Kraft in Week Four.
