Buffalo Bills vs. Detroit Lions

  • The Lions are hosting the Bills on Thanksgiving and the Bills are nine-point favorites on the road and have -420 odds to win SU.
  • Detroit has not won on Thanksgiving since 2016 but has only lost one of those games by more than seven points.
  • Josh Allen will be starting the third Thanksgiving game of his career and will be looking to stay undefeated on the holiday.

DETROIT – The Detroit Lions are hosting the Buffalo Bills on Thanksgiving Day as nine-point underdogs. The Bills reinstated their dominance against the Cleveland Browns in week 11 and are playing their second consecutive game in Detroit.

Josh Allen will be starting the third NFL thanksgiving game of his career, holding a 2-0 record SU, while Jared Goff is starting his second game on Thanksgiving and still searching for his first win.

Game Lines

  • Moneyline: Bills -420/Lions +315
  • Spread: Bills -9.0 (-110)/Lions -9.0 (-110)
  • Total: Over 54.0 (-110)/Under 54.0 (-110)

Will The Bills Cover on The Road vs Detroit?

While there is legal sports betting value on the Bills getting things done on Thursday, a nine-point spread could be tough to cover against the Lions at home. Since the 2021 season, Detroit has held the fourth-best ATS record in the league, coving in 17 of their 27 total games.

The Lions played 11 of those games as underdogs at Ford Field and covered in eight of them. During the 2022 season alone, Detroit has gone 2-1 ATS as the home underdog. The Bills have not been as dominant ATS, going 2-2-1 as the away favorite in 2022.

Even though the Lions are riding a three-game win streak, they have not won on the holidays since the 2016 season. Since the 2017 season, the Lions have lost four of the five games played by less than nine points.

Betting on the Over for Total Points

The over for this Thanksgiving matchup has been set as the highest total by 9.5 points but there is still value for betting on the over. The Bills have the second-highest scoring offense in 2022 at 28.1 PPG on the season, while the Lions have averaged 25 PPG.

Both teams have scored 27 points or higher in two of their past three games, setting up a shootout between Josh Allen and Jared Goff on Thanksgiving. The Lions have also hit the over in seven of their ten games this season, with a margin of +6 for the over in 2022.

Betting on the First Half in Detroit

Along with the standard game lines, there are odds for the first-half alternative lines for the matchup. With the Lions either leading or tied in seven of their ten 2022 games, legal NFL betting gamblers could turn a profit on betting on the Lions to cover in the first half.

Bills vs Lions Alternative Frist Half Spreads

  • Bills -9.5 (+150)/Lions +9.5 (-200)
  • Bills -5.5 (-115)/Lions +5.5 (-115)
  • Bills -1.5 (-200)/Lions +1.5 (+150)

Can the Lions cover at home on Thanksgiving?

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