Lamar Jackson

  • Lamar Jackson is the best player to focus on from a Monday Night Football betting perspective because of all the Baltimore Ravens’ injuries on offense.
  • Past performances as a slight favorite indicate that betting the over on Lamar Jackson’s rushing attempts and yards props may be the best bets of the game.
  • Betting against Lamar Jackson passing props is a strong bet as well given the injuries, past performance as a slight favorite, and his play over the past month.

NEW ORLEANS – Lamar Jackson leads an undermanned Baltimore Ravens team into the Bayou to face Andy Dalton and the New Orleans Saints on Monday Night Football tonight.

The list of players out for the Ravens is extensive, with the offense being particularly limited by the out/doubtful status of four key players: Mark Andrews, Rashod Bateman, J.K.Dobbins, and Gus Edwards. With so many players out for Baltimore, it speaks to Lamar Jackson’s greatness that the Ravens are heading into New Orleans as 1.5-point favorites.

Baltimore Ravens vs New Orleans Saints Betting Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Baltimore Ravens -1.5 (-110) -125 O46.5 (-110)
New Orleans Saints +1.5 (-110) 105 U46.5 (-110)

Betting on Lamar Jackson Monday Night Football

With four key threats on offense for the Ravens unlikely to play, the immediate focus from a sports betting perspective has to turn to Lamar Jackson.

This Monday Night Football matchup provides some extreme value at NFL sportsbooks when comparing some of Jackson’s player props with his previous performance in games as a favorite of three points or less. Focusing on those seven previous games allows bettors an insight into the Ravens’ collective thinking and utilization of Lamar Jackson in regular season games that they should win, but it is not necessarily a given.

Betting on Lamar Jackson to Run Wild

Lamar Jackson is going to be without his top two running back options and has shown a history of dominating on the ground when the Ravens have been a favorite by three points or less, with two specific prop bets at Bovada standing out considering both circumstances.

Lamar Jackson Rushing Props

Lamar Jackson Prop Over Under
10.5 Rushing Attempts -115 -115
60.5 Rushing Yards -115 -115

Both prop bets at legal sportsbooks are too low and should be bet over when considering his past performances as a slight favorite:

  • Rushing Attempts: In the seven games that Lamar Jackson has been active for and started as a favorite of three points or less, the former NFL MVP has 11 or more rushing attempts five times. In the two games that he did not have at least 11 carries, he did not play 100% of the snaps either due to injury or a Ravens blowout, and he still had eight and nine carries.
  • Rushing Yards: Lamar Jackson has averaged 80.6 yards rushing in the seven games that he has played in as a favorite of three points or less, failing to reach 60 yards twice. Jackson has as many games going over 100 yards (2) as he does going under 60.5 yards (2).

Betting on a Limited Ravens Passing Attack

Betting on Lamar Jackson as a runner instead of as a passer on Monday Night Football is a much better bet, with Jackson down his top two targets and a poor history of passing the ball as a slight favorite.

Specifically, two Lamar Jackson player props at Bovada stand out.

Lamar Jackson Passing Props

Lamar Jackson Prop Over Under
Lamar Jackson Prop Over Under
1.5 Passing Touchdowns +110 -145
210.5 Passing Yards -115 -115

The under is likely the best bet for both Lamar Jackson’s passing touchdown and passing yards props:

  • Passing Touchdowns: Jackson has thrown for more than one touchdown just once in his seven games as a favorite by a field goal or less, finishing with exactly one touchdown in all six other games. On top of the struggles as a slight favorite, Jackson struggled this past October. He threw for more than one touchdown in one of the Ravens’ five games this past month.
  • Passing Yards: Similar statistics are relevant with passing yardage, as the former Heisman Trophy-winning quarterback has thrown for more than 210.5 passing yards in two of his seven career starts as a slight favorite. This past October he threw for more than 210 yards once, also finishing with exactly 210 yards in the Ravens loss to the Giants on October 16.

Are you tailing our bets on a monster rushing game by Lamar Jackson or fading and betting on him passing?

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