- There are -360 odds that Clayton Kershaw’s 3,000th career strikeout will be on a swinging strike.
- The slider (-150) is favored to be the pitch type of Kershaw’s 3,000th strikeout, but his signature curveball at +170 offers good value.
- Kershaw needs eight more strikeouts to hit 3K, but he projects for 4.5 strikeouts against the Colorado Rockies on Thursday.
DENVER – With Clayton Kershaw just eight strikeouts away from reaching the 3,000 career strikeout milestone, legal sports betting sites like Bovada are rolling out special prop bets on how he’ll make history.
Method Of Strikeout Prop Favors Swinging Whiff
The most likely method of Kershaw’s 3,000th strikeout is a swinging strike at -360 odds. While betting odds for a called strike sit at +250, longshots like a foul tip or pitch clock violation offer big returns.
Method of Clayton Kershaw’s 3,000th Strikeout
- Swinging Strike -360
- Called Strike +250
- Foul Tip +1700
- Any Other Method +5000
Per Bovada, “Any Other Method” includes rare outcomes like foul bunts and pitch clock violations, which adds some novelty to this milestone prop.
Value Lies With Kershaw’s Signature Curveball
While his slider is the favorite to be the strikeout pitch at -150, bettors should give serious consideration to Kershaw’s curveball at +170. It’s been his most effective strikeout pitch this season.
Pitch Type of Clayton Kershaw’s 3,000th Strikeout
- Slider -150
- Curveball +170
- Fastball +600
- Splitter +3000
- Sinker +5000
- Changeup +5000
According to his Baseball Savant page, Kershaw’s curveball produces the highest Whiff % (46.2%), lowest opponent batting average (.174), and second-most strikeouts among all his pitch types this year.
Kershaw Pitch Data
Pitch Type | Times Thrown | Strikeouts | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
Slider | 212 | 11 | -150 |
Four-Seam Fastball | 191 | 2 | +600 |
Curveball | 91 | 9 | +170 |
Kershaw Strikeout Total Set At 4.5 vs Rockies
Kershaw needs eight more strikeouts to reach 3,000, but California sportsbooks are projecting a 4.5 total against the Rockies — with plus money odds on the over.
Clayton Kershaw Strikeouts Prop
- Over 4.5 Strikeouts +115
- Under 4.5 Strikeouts -150
Kershaw cleared this total in two of his last three starts, including a seven-strikeout outing against a low-strikeout team like St. Louis. The Rockies, meanwhile, rank near the bottom of the league in strikeout avoidance at 9.84 strikeouts per game, making the over at +115 very live.
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News tags: Baseball | Bovada | California | Clayton Kershaw | LA Dodgers | MLB

Zach graduated from Florida State University with a degree in Writing, Editing, and Media. Zach is interested in the legalization aspect of sports betting and enjoys participating in DFS. He has a passion for sports writing and most enjoys writing about football and baseball both professional and collegiate.