- The United States have slightly shorter odds than Belgium, sitting at +145 to win outright while Belgium sits at +190.
- The odds for the two teams to combine for less than three total goals are currently -128. They’ve each averaged about 2.4 goals per match so far in the tournament.
SEATTLE – The United States team will look to capitalize on home field advantage against Belgium in the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup and secure one of the final eight spots in the tournament Monday night at 8 PM EST on Lumen Field.
United States vs Belgium Match Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States | 0.0 (-128) | +145 | O 3.0 (+108) |
| Belgium | 0.0 (+108) | +190 | U 3.0 (-128) |
| Draw | +240 |
The United States are just barely favorites over Belgium on Monday night at +145 odds, while Belgium is not far behind with +190 odds. The odds of a draw sit at +240 on legal sports betting sites.
A major storyline heading into the match is the overturning of the red card that was issued to United States striker Folarin Balogun in their match against Bosnia-Herzegovina after president Donald Trump helped convince FIFA officials to change their ruling.
The decision has received plenty of backlash, including criticism from UEFA, other countries, and the Royal Belgian Football Association, which said that it was “astonished” by the rescinding of Balogun’s suspension.
The two teams have been highly entertaining thus far, Belgium going 2-2-0 and leading the field in total shot attempts with 92 in four matches, while the US has gone 3-0-1, each of their wins coming by multiple goals and their only loss coming in a match where they rested multiple starters.
Under 3.0 Total Goals To Be Scored (-128)
The best bet here is for it to be a low scoring match, although it isn’t exactly flying under the radar with -128 odds at World Cup betting sites.
While the US team has scored 10 goals in their first four matches, they have one of the biggest disparities between goals scored and expected goals scored in the entire tournament, with just 6.03 total expected goals according to FIFA’s official website.
Belgium has featured a high pressure offensive attack, but it has not yielded much success for them, scoring just nine total goals in four matches on 92 total shot attempts with just 26 of those attempts being on target.
Both teams have also been excellent at limiting scoring opportunities for opponents, with the US allowing just 8.25 shot attempts and 2.25 shots on target per 90 minutes, while Belgium is not far behind at 10.62 opponent shot attempts and 3.0 shots on target per 90 minutes. This has resulted in each team allowing just four goals through their first four matches.
If these trends continue to hold, expect a low scoring affair tonight in a defensive battle for one of the final eight spots in the tournament.
