- Despite early odds indicating Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm are the favorites to win a major next year, it may be wise to focus on players who have won multiple majors in the past ten years.
- Of the players with multiple major championships since 2013, betting on Justin Thomas, Jordan Spieth, Collin Morikawa, and Dustin Johnson are likely the best bets.
AUGUSTA, Ga. – Online sportsbooks are now offering odds on which golfer will win a major in 2023, with Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm listed as the early betting favorites.
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Betting on Golfers to Win a Major in 2023
Given the fact that winning a major championship requires golfers to essentially get hot and outplay the other best golfers in the world for a four-day span, betting on those golfers that have won a major in at least two of the past 10 years may be a strong option because they have shown an ability to replicate that hot streak.
The players that have a major in at least two of the past 10 years are:
Justin Thomas (+350): The winner of the 2022 PGA Championship, Justin Thomas is coming off an incredible season. 2022 saw Thomas finish fourth overall in strokes gained, which was likely because he finished inside the top 16 for strokes gained statistics off the tee, around the green, and approaching the green. Justin Thomas has finished inside the top ten in three of the past five majors.
Jordan Spieth (+500): The epitome of a streaky golfer, Jordan Spieth has not won a major since the 2017 Open Championship. Despite not winning a major since then, Spieth has as many top-three finishes since then (3) as missed cuts (3) at majors.
Dustin Johnson (+550): Former world number one golfer according to the World Golf Rankings, Dustin Johnson made the move to the LIV Tour in the past year. Between 2010 and 2020, Dustin Johnson failed to post multiple wins in only four years. Johnson currently is at the top of the LIV individual standings.
Collin Morikawa (+600): Collin Morikawa has won a major in each of the past two seasons, with previous bets on his to win a major paying out with +750 odds in 2021 and +1200 in 2022. With so much recent success, betting on the Los Angeles native (site of the 2023 US Open!) to win a major at legal sports betting sites is a strong bet for the upcoming season.
Brooks Koepka (+1200): Similar to Dustin Johnson, the former top-ranked player in the world has joined the LIV Golf series. Unlike Johnson, Brooks Koepka has not experienced much success on his new tour, making him an unlikely candidate to win a major in 2023. With four major championships, it is always possible for Koepka to bring it all together at the right time, but it may be wise to take a wait-and-see approach on former Florida State Seminole.
Phil Mickelson (N/A): While it would be an incredible storyline if Phil Mickelson won a major championship following his feud with the PGA Tour, legal sports betting sites have yet to begin offering odds on Lefty. Betting on Mickelson to win a major is likely to be a bad bet regardless of the odds, considering he has one finish inside the top 34 during his LIV career. There are only 48 golfers in each event, meaning Phil is clearly struggling.
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Brett is a passionate sports writer who majored in Sport Management at Florida State University. He combines his knowledge of stats with his understanding of game theory to find the best values when sports betting. Brett enjoys golfing, playing cornhole, and hanging out by the pool when he’s not locked in watching games.