Betting on Mahomes’ Passing/Rushing Props Against the Jags

Patrick Mahomes has -114 odds to throw for over 311.5 passing yards during the Divisional Round.
Mahomes has -114 odds to have over 2.5 touchdowns against the Jaguars on Saturday.
With 39 in week ten against the Jags, Mahomes has -154 odds to have over 35 rushing yards again.

KANSAS CITY, Mo. – Heading into the Divisional Round of the 2022-23 NFL playoffs, Patrick Mahomes has many different props against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Mahomes is favored to have more passing yards and touchdowns than Trevor Lawrence in Kansas City.

Mahomes has gone 3-0 against the Jags throughout his career and has averaged 340 passing yards, 2.3 touchdown passes, and one interception during those games. During the Jags and Chiefs’ week ten matchup, Mahomes had four TD passes and one interception.

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Odds

Over 311.5 -114
Under 311.5 -114

Patrick Mahomes Passing Touchdowns Odds

Over 2.5 -114
Under 2.5 -114

During the 2022-23 regular season, Mahomes led the entire NFL with the most passing yards and touchdown passes. He is the current favorite to win the regular season MVP award and the Super Bowl MVP award with +350 odds.

In his 17 games this season, Mahomes has averaged 308 passing yards per game and 2.4 touchdowns per game. While both of these are slightly under his props for the Jags matchup, there is still legal betting value on Mahomes hitting the over.

Mahomes has never lost during the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs with all four games being played at Arrowhead. He has averaged 295.8 yards per game during the Divisional Round and 2.25 touchdowns.

2021 – 329 passing yards/four TDs/zero
2020 – 255 passing yards/ one TD zero int
2019 – 321 yards/four TDs/zero int
2018 – 278 yards/zero TDs/zero int

Patrick Mahomes Interceptions Odds

Over 0.5 -154
Under 0.5 +100

Mahomes has averaged .7 interceptions per game during the 2022 season but the Jags have recorded five interceptions over their last six games. Jacksonville has the 14th most interceptions on the season with 14 and a +5 turnover ratio for the season.

For legal NFL bettors that believe the Chiefs will run away with this playoff game, there is value on the under for his interceptions. However, if the Jags keep things close Mahomes gives bettors value for throwing at least one interception on Saturday.

Betting on Mahomes Running the Ball

Mahomes’ rushing yards has dipped during his sixth season and he has averaged 5.9 yards per carry in 2022. He has rushed for four touchdowns on the season and has had six attempts result in over 14 yards.

Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Odds (At Least)

Over 15 -323
Over 25 -114
Over 35 +154
Over 45 +334
Over 55 +865
Over 65 +2095

During the 2022 season, Mahomes’ highest rushing yards recorded in a game was 63 against the Tennessee Titans. There is value in his +154 odds to go over 35, as he rushed for 39 total yards in week 1 against the Jags and has had three games over that number this season.

Trail a Bet at Bovada

Fade a Bet at Bovada

Will Patrick Mahomes hit his legal sports betting props against Jacksonville during the Divisional Round?

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Ben Fiore

Ben has been an avid sports fan his whole life and mostly follows football and basketball, both professional and collegiate. He has been covering topics that vary from Super Bowl prop bets to articles about the generated revenue from regulated sports betting. He is currently finishing his Editing, Writing, and Media Degree at Florida State University, with a minor in Business. Diving into the world of sports betting, he is ecstatic to work in an area that has combined his two passions of sports and writing.