Spain - 2022 World Cup

  • Despite a disappointing Group Stage for Spain and a surprising showing by Morocco, betting on Spain to cover the one-goal spread is the best bet for the match.
  • Players that want to bet on Spain winning are better off betting on Morocco’s stage of elimination because they improve their odds from -500 to -400.

DOHA, Qatar – The FIFA World Cup knockout round continues on Tuesday, with Spain a near one-goal favorite over Morocco according to Bovada.

Spain vs Morocco Betting Odds

Morocco +1.0 (-125) +500 O2, 2.5 (-108)
Spain -1.0 (+105) -170 U2, 2.5 (-112)
Draw n/a +280 n/a

Spain has been one of the most disappointing teams at the World Cup thus far, while Morocco has been arguably the tournament’s most surprising team.

Despite the thought that they may be two teams heading in opposite directions, Spain is a better bet at World Cup sportsbooks.

Betting on Spain to Win

The loss to Japan in their final game of the Group Stage is the main cause of concern surrounding Spain, as betting odds had given the Japanese team +625 odds to defeat the Spanish.

Those concerns around that relatively poor play may be valid, but an elite showing vs Costa Rica just three matches ago shows that the top-tier talent that had led legal online sportsbooks to giving Spain the fourth shortest odds to hoist the World Cup Trophy (+900) is evidence that the talent is still there.

If anything, that seven-to-nil win was a sign that players should bet on Spain to cover the spread because when they win the team wins big.

Outside of just betting on Spain’s talent advantage over Morocco, it should be noted that advanced World Cup statistics also support a Spanish victory:

  • Spain: 1.73 Expected goals per 90 minutes; 0.90 Expected goals against per 90 minutes
  • Morocco: 0.79 Expected goals per 90 minutes; 0.94 Expected goals against per 90 minutes

Based on advanced stats, Spain has been better offensively and defensively than Morocco.

Betting on Spain to move past their loss to Japan and have their offensive and defensive advantages show up in the form of a multi-goal win over Morocco is the best bet for the match.

Line Shopping for Odds on Spain to Win

Although betting on Spain to cover is likely the best bet, players that would rather bet via the Draw No Bet option can line shop within Bovada’s sportsbook to get a better payout.

One specific way to do so is to bet on Morocco’s specific stage of elimination:

  • Spain Odds to Win No Draw: -500
  • Morocco Odds to Lose in the Round of 16: -400

With so many games left to be played in the World Cup, getting the best betting values of the tournament for each game is a fundamental practice that needs to be executed.

Bovada offers World Cup betting odds for nearly every game, with odds on the Spanish winning outright versus Morocco’s stage of elimination a key example of how to get a leg up on the popular sportsbook.

Are you trailing bets on Spain to regain top form against Morocco?

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