- The Vikings and Patriots are playing in Minnesota on Thanksgiving and the Vikings are three-point favorites for the prime-time game.
- The Patriots have struggled as the road underdog in 2022, going 1-2, while the Vikings have gone 4-0 as the home favorite
- The Patriots have averaged 22.6 PPG in 2022 and the Vikings have averaged 22.9, giving value to the 42.0 (-115) over set for the game.
MINNEAPOLIS – The Minnesota Vikings are taking on the New England Patriots at home and are three-point favorites for the Thanksgiving Day match. Minnesota is coming off of a 37-point loss to the Cowboys at US Bank Stadium, while the Pats won a wild game on Sunday in New England.
- Moneyline: Patriots +130/Vikings -150
- Spread: Patriots +3.0 (-115)/Vikings -3.0 (-105)
- Total: Over 42.0 (-110)/Under 42.0 (-105)
Betting on the Moneyline
This will be Cousin’s first every Thanksgiving game and he has gone 2-1 as a starter in Minnesota on Thursday night, winning his last two. Mac Jones will be playing his first Thanksgiving game as well and has won his only TNF game of this career in 2021 against Atlanta.
These two teams have not faced off since 2018, with the Patriots winning the last six games played, all with Tom Brady leading the Pats and only one game with Cousins in Minnesota. This will be the fourth game of the 2022 season that the Patriots have played as the road underdogs, with a 1-2 record.
The Vikings on the other hand, have won all four home games SU they have played as the home favorite, going 4-0.
Betting on the Spread
With an 8-2 record in 2022, the Vikings have played a lot of close games. Four of the Vikings wins this season have been within four-point margins, and they have recorded a spread record of 4-5-1. Playing at home as the favorite, the Vikings have covered the spread in 50% of their games this season.
All four of the Patriots’ 2022 losses have been by at least three points, with two of them being exactly by a field goal. There is value in going a step further and betting on the Vikings to win by more than three, with legal NFL sportsbooks having alternative spreads for the TNF event.
Vikings Alternative Spreads
- -4.0 +105
- -5.0 +115
- -6.0 +130
- -7.0 +155
The Vikings have won three games in 2022 by eight points and one by seven, giving room between the -6.0 and -7.0 alternative spread.
Betting on the Total
Aside from their two losses on the season, the Vikings have not scored less than 20 points in a game in 2022 and scored at least 28 points in five. Even though they only scored three points in week 11, the Vikings have averaged 22.9 PPG on the season.
The Patriots have not scored less than seven points in a single game during the 2022 season. New England has averaged 22.6 PPG and the two teams give legal sports betting players value for betting on the over, each only needing 21.5 points each to hit the over.
Will the Vikings bounce back by winning and covering against New England?
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Ben has been an avid sports fan his whole life and mostly follows football and basketball, both professional and collegiate. He has been covering topics that vary from Super Bowl prop bets to articles about the generated revenue from regulated sports betting. He is currently finishing his Editing, Writing, and Media Degree at Florida State University, with a minor in Business. Diving into the world of sports betting, he is ecstatic to work in an area that has combined his two passions of sports and writing.