Brazil vs USA WBC Betting Odds + USA HR Odds for Judge, More

Written By:

Zachary Kelley

Published On:

March 6, 2026 11:43 AM

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  • Team USA are massive 9.5-run favorites over Brazil in their first World Baseball Classic game.
  • The 14.5-run total has -130 odds to go over and +110 odds for the under.
  • Home run odds favor an Aaron Judge long ball at -110 odds, but Bovada also offers +600 odds for a multi-home run game from the back-to-back AL MVP.

MIAMI – Betting odds for Team USA’s first group stage game of the World Baseball Classic heavily favor the Americans at -5000 odds. There are -120 legal sports betting odds favoring USA to cover the massive 9.5-run line.

USA vs Brazil WBC Odds

Team Run Line Moneyline Total
USA -9.5 (-120) -5000 O14.5 (-130)
Brazil +9.5 (+100) +1400 U14.5 (+110)

While seeing a 9.5-run line in any professional baseball game is rare, this team USA squad covered Friday’s line in both exhibitions against MLB Spring Training rosters. USA crushed the San Francisco Giants 15-1 on Tuesday and blasted the Colorado Rockies 14-4 on Wednesday.

USA nearly covered Friday’s 14.5-run total themselves in both of those games. Brazil has some notable talent to help cash the -130 odds at Brazil sports betting sites for the over. They have seven MLB players but big names like Dante Bichette Jr., Lucas Ramirez (son of Manny Ramirez), and 17-year-old phenom Joseph Contreras (son of Jose Contreras).

USA Has 5 Players With +150 HR Odds Or Shorter In WBC Opener

Aaron Judge leads the anytime home run odds board at legal MLB betting sites with favored -110 odds. To make up for the short odds, Bovada Sportsbook has +600 odds for Judge to hit two or more home runs against Brazil.

USA vs Brazil Home Run Odds

  • Aaron Judge (USA) -110
  • Cal Raleigh (USA) +100
  • Kyle Schwarber (USA) +120
  • Byron Buxton (USA) +150
  • Bryce Harper (USA) +150
  • Bobby Witt Jr. (USA) +300
  • Alex Bregman (USA) +320
  • Roman Anthony (USA) +400
  • Brice Turang (USA) +500
  • Lucas Ramirez (BRA) +2000
  • Dante Bichette Jr. (BRA) +2200

Aaron Judge (-110), Alex Bregman (+320), Will Smith, Paul Goldschmidt, and Byron Buxton (+150) all hit homers against the Rockies, but Roman Anthony with +400 World Baseball Classic odds to leave the yard offers the most value. He crushed a homer in his USA debut against San Francisco and could benefit from a right-handed dominant starting rotation from Team Brazil.

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Ben Fiore

Zachary Kelley

Zach graduated from Florida State University with a degree in Writing, Editing, and Media. Zach is interested in the legalization aspect of sports betting and enjoys participating in DFS. He has a passion for sports writing and most enjoys writing about football and baseball both professional and collegiate.