Jags vs. Chiefs

  • The Chiefs come into the game with a 4-4 record ATS when favored by 8.5 or more.
  • Mahomes and the Chiefs are 7-4 ATS in the playoffs.
  • The Jaguars look to continue their 6-win streak where they were 5-1 ATS.

KANSAS CITY, Mo. – NFL MVP favorite Patrick Mahomes (-450) and the Kansas City Chiefs host the Jacksonville Jaguars, who defeated the Chargers 31-30 en route to the 3rd largest playoff comeback ever.

Legal online betting sites offer various props for the game, including Kansas City at least 3.5 touchdowns (-160) as well as Both teams to score in the third quarter at +105 odds.

Chiefs vs Jaguars Odds

  • Moneyline: Chiefs (-480) vs Jaguars (+350)
  • Spread: Chiefs -8.5 (-110)
  • Total: 53.0 (-110)

Mahomes and The Chiefs: Touchdown Machines

The Chiefs have been nothing short of dominant throughout Patrick Mahomes’ tenure as the starting QB: averaging a mind-blowing 30.3 points per game in 80 games with Mahomes at the helm.

With a league-leading 61 touchdowns this season, the Chiefs average 3.6 touchdowns per game and figure to continue doing so against the Jaguars and their bottom 5 ranked pass defense.

The Chiefs have scored 4 or more touchdowns (-160) in 4 out of their last 5 games. When favored by at least 8.5 points the Chiefs average 3.4 touchdowns per game and scored 4 or more TDs in 5 of 8 games, including 4 touchdowns against the Jaguars back in week 10.

Third Quarter Scoring Prop Offers Value

One of the more intriguing props comes from Bovada, where both teams scoring in the third quarter comes in at +105 odds.

By far the biggest benefit to this NFL prop bet is that both the Jaguars and Chiefs rank in the top 5 in third quarter points per game, with 6.6 and 6.5 points, respectively. However, the Chiefs managed this despite ending their final 3 games without scoring in the third. Prior to their 3-game drought, the Chiefs managed 6 straight games with a third quarter score.

The Jaguars and Chiefs did both score in the third quarter during their regular season matchup, with a Riley Patterson field goal and a Travis Kelce touchdown cashing the prop.

Both teams to score in the third quarter (+105)

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