- Manchester City is a -152 favorite at FC Porto, which has allowed one goal in five matches this season.
- Real Madrid is a -168 home favorite against an Internazionale side that has won all three of its Serie A matches.
- Manchester City has won all three of its Premier League matches, outscoring opponents 7-2.
- Real Madrid has lost once in four league matches, 0-1 at Real Betis on Sept. 4.
MADRID – Manchester City is a -152 favorite at a Porto side that has allowed one goal in five matches this season, and Real Madrid is a -168 home favorite against an Inter team unbeaten through three Serie A matches, with the two highest-profile kickoffs of UCL Matchday 1 both set for 3 p.m. ET Tuesday.
Porto Has Allowed One Goal In Five Matches
FC Porto has conceded exactly once through five Primeira Liga matches, in a 2-1 win over Moreirense on Sept. 4 that was its only match without a clean sheet. The other four wins, over Alverca, Rio Ave, Arouca and Académico de Viseu, were shutouts. That defense is still the outsider Tuesday, priced +400 on the legal sports betting board to beat Manchester City outright at the Estádio do Dragão.
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Manchester City | -152 |
| Draw | +300 |
| Porto | +400 |
| Over 2.5 goals | -148 |
| Under 2.5 goals | +113 |
The total sits at just 2.5 goals, a number that tracks with Porto’s season more than with a Manchester City attack that has scored in all three of its Premier League games. Porto’s five matches have averaged 2.4 total goals; City’s three have averaged 3.0.
City’s Own Ledger Reads 7-2 Through Three Games
Manchester City has not needed Porto’s schedule to make its case. City beat Bournemouth 2-1, won 4-1 at Crystal Palace and closed last week with a 1-0 win over Coventry City, a run that has it atop the English Premier League table on nine points and a plus-5 goal differential. That form, not just a lighter schedule in Portugal, is doing the work behind Tuesday’s -152 number.
Real Madrid’s Price Survives A Loss At Betis
Real Madrid has lost exactly once, 0-1 at Real Betis on Sept. 4, in an otherwise perfect start to La Liga play that includes wins over Espanyol (2-1), Real Sociedad (4-1) and Malaga (4-0). That gives Real Madrid 10 goals scored and three allowed across four matches.
Tuesday’s -168 price at the Santiago Bernabéu treats the Betis result as the outlier rather than the trend.
Inter Arrives Unbeaten, Averaging Nearly Four Goals A Game
Internazionale is 3-0 in Serie A, with wins over Monza (4-1), Cagliari (1-0) and, most recently, a 3-2 comeback over Napoli at San Siro on Sept. 5. Those three matches have produced 11 total goals, an average of 3.67 combined per game, against Real Madrid’s four matches averaging 3.25. The midpoint of those two figures lands almost exactly on Tuesday’s 3.5-goal number.
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Real Madrid | -168 |
| Draw | +350 |
| Inter | +400 |
| Over 3.5 goals | +105 |
| Under 3.5 goals | -135 |
Real Madrid is the only one of the four clubs playing Tuesday with a loss on its record, and it is still the more expensive favorite of the two matches. The league phase runs eight matchdays through Jan. 27, with Matchday 2 set for Oct. 13-14.
