- The Colts are 3.5-point favorites at some sportsbooks and 4-point favorites at others, with the total at 48.5.
- Margins this season were 18, 3 and 2 points for Indianapolis and 2, 17 and 2 for Washington, never 4 to 16.
- Washington is the designated home team at neutral Tottenham Hotspur Stadium but is 0-1-1 in regular-season international games.
- Jayden Daniels is officially ruled out, leaving Marcus Mariota as the starter.
LONDON – The Colts-Commanders London odds for Sunday have the Indianapolis Colts favored over the Washington Commanders by 3.5 points at some sportsbooks and 4 at others, a half-point split that matters only if Indianapolis wins by exactly four.
A Field Goal Cashes Washington At 3.5 Or 4
Kickoff at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is 9:30 a.m. Eastern (2:30 p.m. in London) on NFL Network, and Washington is the designated home team.
Three points is the most common margin in the NFL, and both numbers clear it. A Colts win by three cashes Washington at +3.5 and at +4. A Colts win by exactly four cashes the Colts at -3.5 and refunds the spread at -4, the only margin the half-point changes.
Four of the six games either team has played finished within a field goal. Indianapolis lost 33-30 at the Kansas City Chiefs and beat the Houston Texans 19-17, while Washington lost 24-22 at the Philadelphia Eagles and beat the Seattle Seahawks 33-31. The other two were a 41-23 loss to the Baltimore Ravens for the Colts and a 37-20 loss at the Dallas Cowboys for the Commanders.
A finish within a field goal sinks the Colts at either number, and a blowout makes the half-point irrelevant. The spread comes down to whether this is a field-goal game, and three games apiece is a thin sample to answer that.
Prices on the game vary across legal sports betting sites.
| Market | Line | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Colts -3.5 / Commanders +3.5 | -115 / -105 |
| Spread | Colts -4 / Commanders +4 | -110 / -110 |
| Moneyline | Colts / Commanders | -192 to -200 / +160 to +171 |
| Total | Over / Under 48.5 | -108 to -110 / -110 to -112 |
A Commanders moneyline ticket at +160 to +171 breaks even at 37 to 38.5 percent. The Colts at -192 to -200 need to win about two of every three, a high bar for a 1-2 team whose only win came by two points.
Washington Is 0-1-1 Abroad, Indianapolis 2-1
Washington’s designation as the home team makes the game a road date for Indianapolis, according to the Colts, but ESPN lists Tottenham Hotspur Stadium as a neutral site. The Commanders are 0-1-1 in regular-season games abroad, a 27-27 tie with the Cincinnati Bengals in London in 2016 and a 16-13 overtime loss to the Miami Dolphins in Madrid in 2025.
The team’s game preview lists Washington at 0-2-1 in international games in franchise history, a count that matches those two results plus a 17-15 preseason loss to the San Francisco 49ers in London in 1992.
The Colts are 2-1 in regular-season games abroad. They lost 30-27 to the Jacksonville Jaguars in London in 2016, then beat the New England Patriots 10-6 in Frankfurt in 2023 and the Atlanta Falcons in overtime in Berlin in 2025.
The label gives Washington no visible help in the price. The listed home team is an underdog across the market, so the 3.5 to 4 reads as a verdict on the two rosters rather than the venue, and a handful of international games for either side is too small a sample to move it.
Colts Held Houston To 223 Yards After Allowing 1,029
Indianapolis allowed 1,029 yards and 74 points in its first two games, then held Houston to 223 total yards in last Sunday’s win, according to Sports Illustrated’s Colts coverage. The 223 is less than half the roughly 515 yards per game the defense had given up in Weeks 1 and 2.
It came in one game, and the Colts gave up a 16-7 fourth-quarter lead before Spencer Shrader’s 53-yard field goal with 16 seconds left won it. A defense with one good day behind it is a thin reason to lay more than a field goal.
Daniels Ruled Out In Week 4
Jayden Daniels dislocated his left elbow before halftime of Washington’s 37-20 loss at Dallas on Sept. 20. He was a limited participant in practice for a second straight day Thursday, but the Commanders ruled Daniels out on Friday morning.
Marcus Mariota will make a second consecutive start, after the 33-31 win over Seattle. The number was posted with the quarterback unresolved, so Friday’s ruling could move either side’s odds before Sunday’s kickoff.
