NC State vs Creighton

  • Betting odds have the N.C. State versus Creighton game as one of the highest totals of the day at 149.0, but bettors would be wise to fade the Wolfpack and Bluejays offenses and take the under.
  • Creighton is the best bet of the two teams to cover based on their recent hot streak and advantage over N.C. State in non-conference rating.

DENVER – Greg McDermott’s Creighton Bluejays are likely a good bet to cover the spread versus N.C. State on Friday, but bettors may be tuning in to see if their bets on the under cash.

March Madness sportsbooks have made McDermott and company a five-point favorite as of Friday morning, but it is bets on the under at 149.0 that are the best bet for the matchup.

March Madness Odds – Creighton vs NC State

Team Spread Moneyline Total
NC State (#11) +5.0 (-110) 185 O149.0 (-110)
Creighton (#6) -5.0 (-110) -225 U149.0 (-110)

Betting on Creighton vs N.C. State

The matchup between Creighton and N.C. State is intriguing for many different reasons, with one being how each team has performed against other teams that made the tournament.

Both teams have combined for a total of 20 games against teams that would qualify for the Round of 64, with their combined performances shockingly dependent on location.

N.C. State and Creighton vs Tournament Teams

  • N.C. State at Home: 3-1 SU/ 2-2 ATS/2-2 OU
  • N.C. State not at Home: 0-4 SU/2-2 ATS/1-3 OU
  • Creighton at Home: 3-1 SU/1-3 ATS/0-4 OU
  • Creighton not at Home: 1-7 SU/3-5 ATS/3-5 OU
  • N.C. State + Creighton at Home: 6-2 SU/3-5 ATS/2-6 OU
  • N.C. State + Creighton not at Home: 1-11 SU/5-7 ATS/4-8 OU

There are many different edges that bettors can glean from those statistics, but two stand out:

This may be a game more along the thought process of “someone has to win” rather than “either team could win” because of each team’s record when not playing at home (Either on the road or at a neutral site) versus tournament teams. The lone win in that 1-11 combined straight-up record belongs to Creighton, who beat Arkansas at a neutral site back in November.

The under is a strong bet for players at legal sports betting sites, as Creighton and N.C. State have had just six overs to 14 unders (70%) in their 20 combined games against tournament-bound teams.

Betting on Creighton to Cover

Despite the limited success of either team versus tournament teams, handicapping the Creighton versus N.C. State game can still be done.

When doing so, bettors will likely lean towards Creighton covering the -5.0 spread for two main reasons:

  • Creighton has been on a hot streak since January 14, winning 12 of 16 games. Six of Creighton’s last 16 games have been against ranked teams. N.C. State has gone 10-6 despite facing only two ranked teams over their last 16.
  • KenPom rankings have Creighton (13) ranked considerably higher than N.C. State (56), largely due to significant differences in non-conference ratings. Creighton has a +6.44 (27th according to KenPom) non-conference adjusted rating, while N.C. State is -4.85 (305th according to KenPom).
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