France Vs. Paraguay Betting Preview + Mbappe Goalscorer Odds

Written By:

Sam Profeta

Published On:

July 2, 2026 3:11 PM

World Cup Betting Preview: France Vs. Paraguay + Mbappe Anytime Goals
  • France is a -550 favorite to win in regulation and -1800 to advance against Paraguay.
  • There are -105 odds for France to cover -2 on the spread.
  • Kylian Mbappe has -162 odds to score a goal.

PHILADELPHIA – The World Cup continues with the Round of 16 on July 4th with a matchup between France and Paraguay, with a trip to the quarterfinals on the line.

France is an overwhelming favorite on legal sports betting sites and still has value to cover a -2 goal spread with how dominant they’ve been to this point.

Note: Gamelines on World Cup betting sites only count towards the 90 minutes of regulation time and any extra stoppage time. They do not include the two 15-minute overtime periods or penalty shootouts.

Paraguay Vs. France Betting Lines

  • To Advance: Paraguay (+875) vs. France (-1800)
  • Reg. Moneyline: Paraguay (+1600) vs. France (-550), Draw (+575)
  • Reg. Spread: France -2 (-105)
  • Reg. Total: 3 Goals

There is no other way to talk about France’s performance than just outright dominant. They went undefeated through the group stage and have won all four games by a minimum of two goals. Their wins include:

  • Group Stage Vs. Senegal: 3-1
  • Group Stage Vs. Iraq: 3-0
  • Group Stage Vs. Norway: 4-1
  • Round of 32 Vs. Sweden: 3-0

They’ve outscored opponents 13-2 and have covered the -2-goal spread in their last three matches while only pushing against Senegal in the opening match. They have power over Paraguay in average goals, goals conceded, expected goals, average goal differential, possession, and save percentage.

On the other side, it’s a miracle that Paraguay has made it this far after a 1-1-1 stretch in the group stage, being outscored 2-4. They also pulled off a major upset against Germany, where they won in penalty kicks.

Overall, this is as strong a lean as possible on France to win and cover the -2 goal spread, allowing them to move on.

Kylian Mbappe Goal Scorer Odds

Tied for the most goals in the World Cup this year, Kylian Mbappe is favored to add on to that total. Through four matches, Mbappe has scored six goals.

The only match he failed to score in was against Norway. He braced in all other games. Across 21 shots taken, 13 of them have been shots on goal. That said, here are his odds to score in this game:

Kylian Mbappe Goal Odds

  • Anytime: -162
  • 2+ Goals: +220
  • 3+ Goals: +1000

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Ben Fiore

Sam Profeta

Samuel has been writing professionally for 4 years. He comes from a sports writing background where he enjoys writing mostly about basketball and football both professional and collegiate. He is a recent graduate of Florida State University where he majored in Editing, Writing and Media with a minor in Communications. During his free time, you can find him watching or playing sports as well as playing videogames and listening to music.