Miami Heat

  • The Miami Heat have +145 odds to beat the Boston Celtics in the Eastern Conference Finals.
  • This is the Miami Heat’s seventh conference finals appearance since 2006.
  • The Heat are 6-0 in the conference finals since 2006.

MIAMI – After finishing as the #1 seed in the Eastern Conference, a top-five defense in the league, and with the sixth-highest point differential in the league, the Miami Heat find themselves as underdogs to the Boston Celtics in the Eastern Conference Finals.

Legal online betting sites opened the series price with Boston favored at -200 while Miami had +170 odds to win. They have since shifted with the public splits favoring Miami on the spread at 52% of bets and 56% of the handle as they opened up Game 1 as 2-point favorites.

Boston Celtics Vs. Miami Heat ECF Series Price

  • Boston Celtics -170
  • Miami Heat +145

Trending Towards Miami

Regardless of the Heat opening up as an underdog in the series prior to Game 1, there is one serious trend that backs up their NBA playoff odds to win the series. That is that the Heat have gone 6-0 in their six Eastern Conference Finals series since 2006.

In those six appearances, two of them came where Miami went in as an underdog. The first being in 2006 when they were +205 underdogs to the Detroit Pistons and most recently in 2020 when they had +110 odds against the Boston Celtics. Miami won both series with a 4-2 score.

2020 was Miami’s second conference finals appearance against Boston since 2006. The Heat defeated Boston in the 2012 conference finals with a 4-3 series score after being favored to win the series with -530 odds.

Aside from their two series against Boston and their first underdog series against the Pistons, the Heat were favored in their other three ECF series since 2006. They had -190 odds to beat the Chicago Bulls in 2011, -850 odds to win their series with the Indiana Pacers in 2013, and -380 against the Pacers once more in 2014.

Defending Home Court

The Heat have another trend to watch, and that comes when they’ve had homecourt advantage in any playoff series since 2011. Since 2011, Miami has had homecourt advantage in 14 different playoff series and have won all 14 of them.

Their homecourt trend has extended to their last two playoff series in this years playoffs as they took down the Atlanta Hawks and Philadelphia 76ers.

With both trends extremely strong and the odds slightly beginning to shift in Miami’s favor, getting in on the Heat’s odds right now at plus odds could offer a massive profit compared to where they’ll be if they win Game 1.

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