Joe Mixon - Jahmyr Gibbs - Saquon Barkley - Derrick Henry

  • The best special prop for the Divisional Round games in the NFL this weekend is for Jahmyr Gibbs, Joe Mixon, Saquon Barkley, and Derrick Henry to all run for at least 70 yards. The prop has +400 odds.

KANSAS CITY, Mo. NFL Divisional Round betting specials at Bovada have been posted before the games this weekend. One particularly stands out as a great betting special:

  • Joe Mixon, Jahmyr Gibbs, Saquon Barkley, and Derrick Henry to each rush for 70+ yards: +400

Mixon, Gibbs, Barkley, and Henry to Rush for 70+ Yards

The most interesting Divisional Round special at NFL online betting sites is the prop at Bovada for Joe Mixon, Jahmyr Gibbs, Saquon Barkley, and Derrick Henry to each have more than 70 rushing yards.

Consider each of their rushing yards total in their last game:

  • Joe Mixon: 25 carries for 106 yards
  • Jahmyr Gibbs: 23 carries for 139 yards
  • Saquon Barkley: 25 carries for 119 yards
  • Derrick Henry: 26 carries for 186 yards

Saquon Barkley and Derrick Henry feel like locks to hit 70+ rushing yards. They both have more games with at least 150 rushing yards than games with less than 70.

Player Games with 150+ Yards Games with Less than 70 Rushing Yards Per Game
Derrick Henry 5 4 117.1
Saquon Barkley 5 3 124.9

Jahmyr Gibbs and Joe Mixon are more up in the air.

Gibbs feels very and is nearly a lock considering he has 109 rushing yards or more in each of his past three games, but David Montgomery is back this week so that may eat into his volume some.

Still, Gibbs rushed for at least 70 yards in 11 of his 17 games played this season. He should get to 70+ yards.

Joe Mixon is the player to feel least confident in. He rushed for 106 yards against the Los Angeles Chargers last week, but that was his first time with more than 70 yards in four weeks.

He has faded as the season has gone on. That can be proven by the fact that in Mixon’s last seven games, he has more games with rushing yard totals in the 20s than not.

But, it seems very possible that the Texans may have just been preserving him for the playoffs. Mixon had 25 carries vs the Chargers last week after not having at least 20 since facing the Jacksonville Jaguars on December 1.

If the Texans were saving Mixon for the playoff run and plan to give him at least 20 carries, he is a great bet to have at least 70 rushing yards.

Joe Mixon Games with 20+ Carries this Season

  • 1/11 vs Chargers: 25 carries for 106 yards
  • 12/1 vs Jaguars: 20 carries for 101 yards
  • 11/18 vs Cowboys: 20 carries for 109 yards
  • 11/10 vs Lions: 25 carries for 46 yards
  • 10/31 vs Jets: 24 carries for 106 yards
  • 10/27 vs Colts: 25 carries for 102 yards
  • 10/20 vs Packers: 25 carries for 115 yards
  • 9/8 Colts: 30 carries for 159 yards

Overall, Mixon has at least 70 yards in seven of the eight games this year that he has had at least 20 carries.

If the Texans were really saving him for the playoffs down the stretch of the season, the other legs for this parlay make this feel like the best bet at legal sports betting sites for the NFL Divisional Round.

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