MLB Free Picks For Thurs. + Best MLB Player Props 4/16

Written By:

Zachary Kelley

Published On:

April 16, 2026 11:22 AM

MLB Free Picks For Thurs. + Best MLB Player Props 4/16
  • The Houston Astros have +110 odds to cover the run line against the Colorado Rockies on Thursday night.
  • Betting odds favor the Seattle Mariners (-119) to snap the San Diego Padres’ eight-game win streak and avoid the series sweep.
  • The best MLB player props for Thursday are Yordan Alvarez over 1.5 total bases (-115) and Luke Raley to record a hit (-145).

HOUSTON – Our MLB free picks focus on Thursday’s two late-slate games: the Colorado Rockies (+157) against the Houston Astros, and the Seattle Mariners (-119) against the San Diego Padres. It starts in Houston where the Astros have -192 legal sports betting odds to complete the series sweep over Colorado.

Rockies vs Astros Betting Odds

TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
Colorado Rockies+1.5 (-130)+157O9.0 (+100)
Houston Astros-1.5 (+110)-192U9.0 (-120)

Both starting pitchers in this game have only appeared as relievers so far this season, leading to a high 9.0-run total. The Astros are 7-2 at home and are the best bet on the moneyline at legal MLB betting sites against a Rockies pitching staff that’s allowed 7+ runs in four of their last six games.

  • Best Prop: Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115)

Yordan Alvarez is back to his MVP-candidate self in 2026 and has an extra-base hit in four of his last six games. His seven home runs are tied for the second-most in the MLB, and his +330 home run odds at Texas sportsbooks are worth a sprinkle after launching a long ball in Wednesday’s win.

Back Seattle Moneyline Odds To Stop Padres Win Streak

The Seattle Mariners are favored on the run line (+145) against the San Diego Padres with Luis Castillo on the mound. The Padres have hit on the moneyline at California sports betting sites in 10 of their last 11 games, but Seattle has the edge in this game against San Diego’s Walker Buehler.

Mariners vs Padres Betting Lines

TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
Seattle Mariners-1.5 (+145)-119O8.5 (-105)
San Diego Padres+1.5 (-170)-101U8.5 (-115)

Castillo had a rough outing his last time on the mound, but he’s had success against San Diego hitters in the few starts he’s made against them. Top hitters like Manny Machado (4-17), Fernando Tatis Jr. (1-9), and Jake Cronenworth (2-9) struggled in their limited plate appearances, giving an advantage to Seattle with -119 moneyline odds.

  • Best Prop: Luke Raley Over 0.5 Hits (-145)

Seattle’s Luke Raley went 4/5 with a double and a home run last night, extending his hit-streak to four games. Surprisingly, he’s the Mariners’ team leader in batting average (.339), home runs (4), and RBI (12) through their first 19 games and swinging a red-hot bat heading into Thursday’s series finale. Raley gets another good lefty on righty matchup against Walker Buehler and has valuable -145 odds at WA sportsbooks to get a hit.

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Ben Fiore

Zachary Kelley

Zach graduated from Florida State University with a degree in Writing, Editing, and Media. Zach is interested in the legalization aspect of sports betting and enjoys participating in DFS. He has a passion for sports writing and most enjoys writing about football and baseball both professional and collegiate.