- The New England Patriots are favored by 7.0 points against the Atlanta Falcons on TNF.
- Although the shading is not on the Patriots’ odds, (-105), they may be the better choice to bet on.
ATLANTA – The Atlanta Falcons and New England Patriots will play in the Thursday Night Football game in Week 11. New England seems to be in a good spot to have a positive performance.
Betting The Spread: New England (-7.0)
It’s tough to find a team in the NFL that’s looking better than the New England Patriots right now. They’ve won four games in a row and have been outsourcing opponents by an average score of 37.5-12.5 during their win streak. Legal sports betting sites have the spread set at just a portion of their average performance.
Patriots vs Falcons Spread Odds
- New England Patriots -7.0 -105
- Atlanta Falcons +7.0 -110
New England has a favorable matchup against the Atlanta Falcons who have been struggling lately. The Patriots’ defense that’s allowing just 12.5 points over the last four weeks will be facing the Falcons’ offense that’s totaling just 14.3 points per game over the last three weeks.
Further, both of these teams’ average game results in the Patriots covering the spread. The Patriots are winning by an average of 9.8 points per game this season while Atlanta is losing by an average of 9.4 points per game on the year.
Although the shading is in the direction of Atlanta, there’s really nothing that indicates they’ll cover, or even keep the game relatively competitive. New England has both won and covered the spread in each of the last six meetings between the two teams, showing that the Pats simply have Atlanta’s number.
Patriots vs Falcons Moneyline Odds
- New England Patriots -300
- Atlanta Falcons +250
As well as there being plenty of trends that point towards the Patriots, there are also definitive trends that point towards one side of the total.
Betting The Total: 47.5 Points
Given what’s been said about the potential outcome of the game, it may not be too surprising to find the UNDER may be the best play. NFL betting sites are not taking into account just how bad of a matchup Atlanta’s offense has against New England’s defense.
Patriots vs Falcons Total Odds
- OVER 47.5 -110
- UNDER 47.5 -110
It’d be surprising to see the Falcons put up more than a pair of touchdowns, but even an average performance from the teams would result in a lower-scoring game than the total would suggest.
New England’s average game totals are just 45.2 points, the teams combine to score 47.3 points per game and they combine to allow only 46.9 points per game.
Those interested in watching the game can tune in to FOX or the NFL Network at 8:20 p.m. EST.
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Nick is a sports writer and die-hard sports fan. He graduated from Penn State University with a degree in Broadcast/Journalism. In his free time, he enjoys kicking back and relaxing with a good video game.