Kirk Cousins - Mac Jones

  • Kirk Cousins has -112 odds to stay under 1.5 touchdowns on Thanksgiving.
  • Mac Jones has -115 odds to throw for over 224.5 passing yards.

MINNEAPOLIS – While the odds for the Thanksgiving matchup between the Minnesota Vikings and New England Patriots could be too close to call, there are plenty of player props to get in on that offer just as much value with some great stats and facts supporting them.

More specifically, the player props that legal online betting sites  have on both Kirk Cousins and Mac Jones and their total passing yards and total passing touchdowns.

Kirk Cousins Player Props

Total Passing Yards – Kirk Cousins

  • Over 242.5 -104
  • Under 242.5 -126

Kirk Cousins NFL player odds are favoring him to stay under despite trending in the right direction all year. He has thrown over that number in six of 10 games including two of his last three. However, the Patriots defense against the pass game is one of the best in the league. New England allowed just 188.3 passing yards per game which is the fourth lowest in the league.

They have also kept six of their 10 opposing QBs this season to under 242.5 yards. As for how he has done against his previous passing yard totals, he has stayed under in two of his last five games. Something else to point out is that Cousins has gone up against similar passing defenses in the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles who are also in the top 4 against opposing QBs and have been held to under 242.5 yards in both games. That includes his Week 11 game against Dallas that held him to just 105 yards.

Total Passing TDs – Kirk Cousins

  • Over 1.5 -117
  • Under 1.5 -112

Despite Bovada favoring Cousins to stay under his passing yard total, he is slightly favored to go over his touchdown total, and surprisingly so. The Patriots defense has only allowed three of 10 opposing QBs to go over 1.5 touchdowns this season. Their redzone defense also ranks sixth in the league allowed opponents to score on just 50% of their redzone drives. In their last three games though, their D has picked up to just 33.33% of redzone drives.

The Vikings have been struggling though in their last three games having only been able to score in the redzone on 33.33% of drives and Cousins has been held to under 1.5 passing touchdowns in each of their last two games.

One major thing to point out has been the improved yards per carry from Dalvin Cook in their last two games as both of those games are season highs in YPC which could take away even more redzone opportunities for Cousins.

Mac Jones Player Props

Total Passing Yards – Mac Jones

  • Over 224.5 -115
  • Under 224.5 -113

Although Mac Jones and the Patriots offense has been shaky, this is the perfect game for them to step up and see what Mac Jones can do as Minnesota has one of the worst secondaries in the NFL. The Vikings are letting up the second most passing yards per game to opponents this season at 267.3 and have let seven of their ten opponents go over 224.5 passing yards thus far.

Jones has gone over 224.5 in three of the seven games that he has played this season including last week against the New York Jets who are a top-10 defense in the league against the pass and he went for 246 yards. Oddsmakers also have extremely high hopes for Jones going into this one as this marks his highest passing yard total in the last five games and his season average on his passing yard line has been just 165.5.

Total Passing TDs – Mac Jones

  • Over 1.5 +177
  • Under 1.5 -239

There is just too much value on the over to not take it, especially against a Vikings defense that has allowed a touchdown on an NFL-high 71.43% of redzone drives. Also, in their last five games, they’ve let four of the five opposing QBs to go for over 1.5 passing touchdowns.

The Vikings have also been injured all season long in the secondary and on Thanksgiving, they could be down four defensive backs. Those include both Lewis Cine and Cameron Dantzler who will 100% miss as they are both on IR and Akayleb Evans and Andrew Booth who are both questionable and did miss last week against the Dallas Cowboys.

If they are down four DBs once more, Mac Jones could certainly have his way here with the Vikings.

Mac Jones Throwing For Over 1.5 Touchdowns

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