Sharpest Bet for Germany vs Paraguay: Paraguay Under Corners

Written By:

Zachary Kelley

Published On:

June 29, 2026 10:44 AM

Sharpest Bet for Germany vs Paraguay: Paraguay Under Corners
  • Paraguay averaged 0.67 corners per game in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, but their line is set at 2.5 corners against heavily favored Germany (-265).
  • There are -115 odds for Paraguay to go under 2.5 corners for the fourth-consecutive World Cup match, having posted just two corners across three matches thus far.
  • A corners handicap on Germany -3.5 pays at -108 odds, which are solid considering Germany averages 5.7 corners taken per game and only surrenders 2.67 per game.

BOSTON – While everyone tries to find more valuable ways to back Germany to win, the best bet in this match is on Paraguay to go under 2.5 corners taken. There are -115 legal sports betting odds for this corners prop that hit in all three of Paraguay’s group stage matches.

Paraguay Total Corners vs. Germany

  • Over 2.5 Corners -115
  • Under 2.5 Corners -115

It took three matches for Paraguay to clear their corners projection against Germany, proving this projection is too high for a team that hasn’t created many big chances on the attack. Paraguay suffered a corners deficit against the United States (1 vs 3), Turkey (0 vs 12), and Australia (1 vs 3), and the German defense will be the best they’ve faced at the 2026 World Cup.

Bet Germany Corners Handicap -3.5 vs. Paraguay

Betting Paraguay to go under 2.5 corners taken at -115 is a good bet, but Germany to cover the 3.5-corner spread comes with even greater -108 odds. Germany is projected for 6.5 corners and posted 17 total corners in their group stage matches.

Germany vs. Paraguay Total Corners Handicap

TeamSpread
Germany-3.5 Corners (-108)
Paraguay+3.5 Corners (-122)

Paraguay’s defense is built to funnel opponents toward wide attacks and their set pieces, which helps explain why Germany is such a heavy favorite in this match. That defensive approach resulted in 12 corners conceded to Turkey and could create a similar result in this match, where there’s plenty of value at World Cup betting sites for Germany to dominate the corners battle.

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Ben Fiore

Zachary Kelley

Zach graduated from Florida State University with a degree in Writing, Editing, and Media. Zach is interested in the legalization aspect of sports betting and enjoys participating in DFS. He has a passion for sports writing and most enjoys writing about football and baseball both professional and collegiate.