Spain Opens As World Cup Final Betting Favorite vs Argentina

Written By:

Sam Profeta

Published On:

July 16, 2026 11:12 AM

World Cup Final Betting Preview: Spain Opens As Favorite Over Argentina
  • Spain is favored to beat Argentina with -160 odds.
  • There is a 2-goal total set for the match.
  • Spain has +130 odds to win in regulation.

NEW YORK – The World Cup final is set and scheduled for Sunday in MetLife Stadium at 3 p.m. EST between Spain and Argentina in what will be the eighth all-time meeting between the two nations.

Spain goes in as favorites on legal sports betting sites with plenty leaning its way to support that. Argentina, though, the reigning champions, have proven time and time again why they are in search of their second consecutive World Cup title.

Note: Gamelines on World Cup betting sites only count towards the 90 minutes of regulation time and any extra stoppage time. They do not include the two 15-minute overtime periods or penalty shootouts.

Spain Vs. Argentina Betting Lines

  • To Win: Spain (-160) vs. Argentina (+130)
  • Reg. Moneyline: Spain (+130) vs. Argentina (+255), Draw (+200)
  • Spread: Spain 0, -0.5 (-105)
  • Total: 2 Goals

In the previous seven meetings between the two, Spain has the advantage by a game, leading 4-3 with a goal margin of 14-12. Spain won the most recent meeting back in 2018, 6-1.

Spain Continues Defensive Dominance

Spain has been nothing short of suffocating on defense throughout the World Cup. They’ve allowed just one goal, which came in the quarterfinal round against Belgium. Outside of goalkeeping, as a team, they do not allow much pressure at all. On the contrary, they are a top-three team in pressure applied, with 1,641 pressures applied, and also lead the tournament in forced takeaways at 343.

That said, opponents haven’t gotten that much action near the goalkeeper, who has just 14 saves and 108 actions inside the penalty box.

Can Argentina Overcome Adversity Again?

Make no mistake about Argentina, though, as they are the top offensive unit, leading with 19 total goals. 46 of their 113 shots come on target at a 17% rate. They also lead in distribution with 4,324 completed passes at 91% success, meaning they continuously look for the best opportunity.

World Cup Final Best Bet

This has to be a play on the over in total goals. Yes, Spain’s defense is top-notch, but Argentina’s offense cannot be ignored in late-game situations. Argentina will look to control the pace with its 65% to 63% possession advantage and continue its seven-game streak of overs in the final.

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Ben Fiore

Sam Profeta

Samuel has been writing professionally for 4 years. He comes from a sports writing background where he enjoys writing mostly about basketball and football both professional and collegiate. He is a recent graduate of Florida State University where he majored in Editing, Writing and Media with a minor in Communications. During his free time, you can find him watching or playing sports as well as playing videogames and listening to music.