SZA, Sabrina Carpenter, Kendrick Lamar: AMA Odds and Picks

Written By:

Drew Gniadek

Published On:

May 23, 2025 4:11 PM

SZA Leads Artist of the Year Betting Odds at +180
  • SZA leads the way with +180 odds to win Artist of the Year, the shortest of any artist.
  • Sabrina Carpenter (+250) and Kendrick Lamar (+280) are close behind SZA and have a legitimate chance to win the award.

LAS VEGAS – The 2025 American Music Awards will take place on Memorial Day, Monday, May 26th at 8 PM EST on CBS.

The award that most people will be looking forward to is Artist of the Year. Here are the artists with the shortest odds to win the award.

American Music Awards – Artist of the Year Odds

  • SZA +180
  • Sabrina Carpenter +250
  • Kendrick Lamar +280
  • Morgan Wallen +550
  • Doja Cat +800
  • Post Malone +800

Legal sports betting sites list SZA as the slight favorite with +180 odds, followed closely by Sabrina Carpenter at +250 and Kendrick Lamar at +280.

SZA released her album Lana in December of 2024, which peaked at #1 on the Billboard 200 Albums Chart.

The lead single for the album, “Saturn”, peaked at #6 on the Billboard Hot 100.

Sabrina Carpenter burst onto the scene in 2024 with her hit single “Espresso” and her highly anticipated album Short n’ Sweet, which debuted at #1 on the Billboard 200 albums chart as well.

All 12 songs from the album charted on the Billboard Hot 100.

Kendrick Lamar has been at the forefront of hip-hop ever since his run-in with Drake, leading to the release of “Not Like Us”.

The hit single has broken multiple records, including longest charting rap song in Billboard Hot 100 history, as well as most weeks at No. 1 on Billboard’s Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs chart.

Morgan Wallen has claimed the throne as the most popular country artist and released his new album titled I’m The Problem just one week ago.

The album debuted at #1 on the UK’s Official Albums Chart this week, becoming just the fifth country artist to achieve such a feat.

Doja Cat has yet to release a single or album in 2025, but had multiple highly charting features in “Just Us” with Jack Harlow and “Lose My Mind” with Don Tolliver.

She has not dropped an album since 2023 but is anticipated to drop an album at some point in 2025.

Post Malone has notably transitioned from hip-hop and R&B to country with his most recent album F-1 Trillion releasing in August of 2024.

The singer’s genre change worked out pretty well, as his album debuted at number one on both the Billboard 200 and Top Country Albums charts.

Betting sites with odds for entertainment clearly view this as a three person race between SZA, Sabrina Carpenter, and Kendrick Lamar.

It is important to note that a female artist has won in six of the last ten American Music Awards.

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Ben Fiore

Drew Gniadek

Drew is currently a student at Florida State University, originally from Massachusetts. He has a background playing basketball, including both for the high school varsity team and pool basketball with his friends. Drew is a die-hard Celtics fan and also enjoys football and baseball.