Underdogs With Legitimate Upset Potential In Wimbledon Semis

Written By:

Drew Gniadek

Published On:

July 9, 2025 2:01 PM

Two Underdogs In Wimbledon Who Could Make You Some Money - Aryna Sabalenka, Taylor Fritz
  • Amanda Anisimova is a +190 underdog against Aryna Sabalenka, the #1 ranked women’s player in the world.
  • Taylor Fritz has outpaced Carlos Alcaraz in both service game win rate and return game win rate but is a +400 underdog.

LONDON – The semi-finals for men’s and women’s singles at Wimbledon are rapidly approaching with the women set to begin tomorrow, July 10th and the men on the following day, July 11th. Here are some of the best bets for the latter rounds.

Sabalenka vs Anisimova Match Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
Aryna Sabalenka -5.0 (-115) -230 O 53.5 (-105)
Amanda Anisimova +5.0 (-105) +190 U 53.5 (-115)

Top ranked women’s player Aryna Sabalenka is the favorite at legal sports betting sites against 13th ranked Amanda Anisimova in their semi-final matchup.

The two have faced each other eight times over the course of their careers with Anisimova getting the better of Sabalenka, leading 5-3 all time. However, in their most recent meeting at the 2025 Roland-Garros, Sabalenka won in two sets.

So far in the tournament, the two have been pretty evenly matched on paper. Sabalenka has won 64% of her return games compared to Anisimova’s 56%, while Anisimova has won 83% of her service games compared to Sabalenka’s 78%.

The most glaring difference is Anisimova’s 31 double faults compared to Sabalenka’s 12. Unforced errors like that could be the deciding factor in this match.

Bettors should lean towards Sabalenka to win outright to or to cover the spread.

Fritz vs Alcaraz Match Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
Taylor Fritz +5.5 (-115) +400 O 37.5 (-115)
Carlos Alcaraz -5.5 (-115) -550 U 37.5 (-115)

On the men’s side of things, Carlos Alcaraz has -550 odds to defeat Taylor Fritz at Wimbledon betting sites on his way to the finals.

Fritz has been playing at an elite level throughout the tournament, outpacing Alcaraz in both service game win rate as well as return game win rate.

He has been nearly untouchable while serving, winning 92% of his service games and delivering 95 aces so far in the tournament. For context, Alcaraz has won 89% of his service games, but has recorded just 62 aces.

Fritz has been strong in the return game during Wimbledon as well, which is not something we are accustomed to seeing. He has won 80% of his return games thus far in the tournament, but has won just 20% of his return games overall in 2025.

Alcaraz, on the other hand, has won 34% of his return games this year and 69% during the tournament.

If Fritz can continue to win return games at a rate anywhere close to what he has done so far in the tournament, he has a legitimate chance to knock off Alcaraz in search of his first Wimbledon title. Take the odds at +400 if you’re willing to swing for the fences.

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Ben Fiore

Drew Gniadek

Drew is currently a student at Florida State University, originally from Massachusetts. He has a background playing basketball, including both for the high school varsity team and pool basketball with his friends. Drew is a die-hard Celtics fan and also enjoys football and baseball.