Updated World Cup Golden Boot Odds: Messi, Mbappe, Haaland

Written By:

Sam Profeta

Published On:

July 8, 2026 10:09 AM

Updated World Cup Golden Boot Odds: Messi, Mbappe, Haaland
  • Lionel Messi has +100 odds to win the World Cup Golden Boot.
  • Kylian Mbappe has +140 Golden Boot odds.
  • There are +650 odds for Erling Haaland to win the Golden Boot.

NEW YORK – The race for the World Cup Golden Boot has been just as competitive as the tournament itself, with three names pulling far ahead of the rest of the field. Lionel Messi, Kylian Mbappe, and Erling Haaland sit ahead of the rest of the field in World Cup goals.

As things sit right now, legal sports betting sites are leaning in favor of Messi to win the Golden Boot, with Mbappe well within striking distance under +200. Erling Haaland sits at +650.

2026 World Cup Golden Boot Winner

  • Lionel Messi +100
  • Kylian Mbappe +140
  • Erling Haaland +650
  • Harry Kane +800

By The Numbers

World Cup betting sites are correct in setting Messi as the leader on the board, being that he leads all players with eight goals. Making up his goal total are 30 shots taken, with 17 being on goal. He scored a hat-trick against Algeria, a brace against Austria, and one goal each against Jordan, Cape Verde (R32), and Egypt (R16).

Both Kylian Mbappe and Erling Haaland are not far off with seven goals each. Mbappe scored in all but one match, including braces against Senegal, Iraq, and Sweden (R32), and a single goal against Paraguay in the Round of 16. He failed to score against Norway. He’s taken 26 shots with 17 on goal.

Haaland has gone a similar route as Mbappe, scoring in all but one match, including two braces against Senegal and Iraq in the group stage. He scored a single goal against the Ivory Coast in the Round of 32 and another brace in the Round of 16 against Brazil. Haaland has seen plenty of efficient volume as well, with 18 shots and 12 of them being on goal.

Each of them are favored to win their respective quarterfinals matches and continue on in the Golden Boot race.

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Ben Fiore

Sam Profeta

Samuel has been writing professionally for 4 years. He comes from a sports writing background where he enjoys writing mostly about basketball and football both professional and collegiate. He is a recent graduate of Florida State University where he majored in Editing, Writing and Media with a minor in Communications. During his free time, you can find him watching or playing sports as well as playing videogames and listening to music.