- With odds around +2000 to score a touchdown, Patrick Ricard bettors are positive all-time despite him only scoring seven touchdowns in eight seasons.
BALTIMORE – When most people sit down to place an NFL wager, their eyes go straight to the stars. The wide receivers with highlight reels, the dual-threat quarterbacks, the running backs who dominate fantasy football.
It makes sense, as big names mean big plays and big plays generally mean a touchdown. But when it comes to legal sports betting, chasing star power isn’t always the smartest move.
It’s about value.
Enter Patrick Ricard
Ricard is hardly a household name outside of Baltimore. A fullback who’s been in the league for eight seasons, Ricard’s career stat line doesn’t exactly scream “betting gold.”
Ricard Career Stats
- 10 Rushing Attempts / 19 Yards
- 48 Receptions / 315 Yards
- 7 Total Touchdowns
He’s found the end zone just seven times across 121 games. For most reviewing the odds that’s a pass. Why waste money on a longshot?
But here’s where NFL sportsbooks and odds come into play. Week after week, Ricard is often priced around +2000 to score a touchdown. That’s 20-to-1 value. And while Ricard doesn’t score often, those rare trips to the end zone carry outsized payouts.
Run The Math
If you blindly wagered $100 on Ricard to score in every game of his career, you’d have dropped $11,400 in losing tickets. But those seven touchdowns gave a payout of $14,000. That leaves a bettor ahead $2,600 in profit!
- Fun Fact: Patrick Ricard has scored at least one touchdown in six of his eight seasons in the NFL.
That’s the lesson.
Betting isn’t just about finding who’s most likely to score, as that’s priced into the odds already – just look at Derrick Henry (-175 odds to score against the Buffalo Bills). The books know he’s a threat and the payouts reflect it.
Ricard, on the other hand, is overlooked, undervalued, and priced long. That’s where value lives.
It doesn’t mean you should blindly bet fullbacks every week. But it does mean that chasing the obvious names often nets you thinner returns. Understanding pricing and probability (while staying consistent with the strategy) can uncover real edges.
Patrick Ricard is the perfect case study: the guy you’d never expect to make you money might just be the best bet.
