Luka Doncic MVP Odds Offering The Most Value

Written By:

Sam Profeta

Published On:

April 2, 2026 10:41 AM

Luka Doncic MVP Odds Offering The Most Value
  • Luka Doncic has +2500 odds to win the NBA MVP.
  • Doncic is leading the league in scoring with 33.8 ppg.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is favored to win the MVP with -350 odds.

LOS ANGELES – With just over five games remaining in the NBA regular season, there is still value to be made on the NBA MVP, with outrageous value being offered this late in the season.

The reigning MVP from last season, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, is the heavy favorite on legal sports betting sites, with Victor Wembanyama sitting at +300 odds. However, leading the league in scoring and averaging nearly a triple-double, Luka Doncic sits with the third shortest odds down at +2500.

2026 NBA MVP Odds

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: -350
  • Victor Wembanyama: +200
  • Luka Doncic: +2500

Luka Doncic MVP Odds Worth The Risk

It is a bit confusing as to why NBA odds continue to fade Doncic, being that he’s currently leading the league in scoring with 33.8 ppg, putting up the fourth most assists per game at 8.3, and pulling in 7.8 rpg for a near triple-double average.

Doncic is well in reach of meeting the 65-game requirement to be eligible to win the MVP, having played 63 games. It also helps that the Los Angeles Lakers are only two games ahead of the Denver Nuggets for the third seed, meaning they’ll likely look to keep their regular lineup until securing the third spot.

Compared to Shai, yes, he has the Thunder in position to lock up the top seed in the West for the third straight season; however, his numbers across the board do not meet Luka’s and have even regressed a bit compared to last season.

As for Wemby, he’s in real danger of not meeting the league requirement of games to be eligible. He’s notched 61 games played; however, San Antonio sits firmly in second place with no risk of falling back. That said, the Spurs could look to hold out their superstar to avoid injury ahead of the playoffs.

Odds Movement

The three have solidified themselves as the frontrunners over the course of a month. SGA has remained favored, having been under even at -130 before strengthening his odds to this point.

Both Wemby and Luka have also jumped and surpassed some notable names on the board in the process, including Nikola Jokic, Cade Cunningham, and Jaylen Brown.

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Ben Fiore

Sam Profeta

Samuel has been writing professionally for 4 years. He comes from a sports writing background where he enjoys writing mostly about basketball and football both professional and collegiate. He is a recent graduate of Florida State University where he majored in Editing, Writing and Media with a minor in Communications. During his free time, you can find him watching or playing sports as well as playing videogames and listening to music.