- Arsenal is a -190 favorite on the Premier League moneyline, Aston Villa a +500 underdog and the draw priced at +340.
- Aston Villa sold its record Premier League scorer, Ollie Watkins, to Saudi club Al-Hilal for roughly £51 million.
- Kai Havertz has scored in both Arsenal appearances this season and is favored to start over Viktor Gyokeres.
- Nicolas Jackson arrived from Chelsea as Watkins’ replacement but has not yet played for Aston Villa in a competitive match.
BIRMINGHAM, England – Arsenal is a -190 favorite to win at Aston Villa, with the match’s goalscorer market thinned by Aston Villa’s sale of its record Premier League scorer, Ollie Watkins, to Saudi club Al-Hilal a day before Monday’s kickoff.
A Short-Priced Favorite At Villa Park
Arsenal arrives as a heavy road favorite, coming off a 3-0 win over newly promoted Coventry City in its opener.
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Arsenal win | -190 |
| Draw | +340 |
| Aston Villa win | +500 |
| Over 2.5 goals | -140 |
| Under 2.5 goals | +115 |
Laying -190 on Arsenal outright means clearing a win rate near two-thirds just to break even, the toll for a road price that short. The total leans toward the over in part on Aston Villa’s defense: the hosts shipped four goals in a season-opening loss at Brighton, a leaky start now paired with a rebuilt front line.
Monday’s Villa Park meeting sits inside a full Premier League slate that anchors this week’s board for legal sports betting generally, with the same three-way structure – moneyline, draw and total – running across how to bet on the English Premier League every match week this season.
The Goalscorer Market Just Got Thinner
Aston Villa parted with Watkins, the club’s all-time leading Premier League scorer, in a deal worth roughly £51 million that closed the day before kickoff, and Al-Hilal confirmed the signing as he left for Saudi Arabia’s Pro League. Nicolas Jackson arrived from Chelsea in the same window as his replacement but has yet to play a competitive minute for Aston Villa, leaving any goalscorer price on him more projection than form.
Arsenal’s line is more settled: Kai Havertz has scored in both of his appearances this season and is favored to start at striker over Viktor Gyokeres, who has opened both games from the bench.
Confirmed lineups post roughly an hour before kickoff, and a goalscorer bet on a player who starts on the bench collects nothing regardless of price. That risk sits heavier on Aston Villa’s side of the match Monday, with a new-arrival striker who has not featured and a title-board contender in Arsenal – installed in July at Arsenal +165, Man City +300 on the Premier League board – fielding the more proven frontline option.
