- Aryna Sabalenka has -145 odds to defeat Elena Rybakina in the Women’s US Open final.
- There are -115 odds for Rybakina to cover the +1.5-game spread, which she’s done in three of their last four head-to-head meetings.
- Sabalenka holds a 10-7 career head-to-head advantage but the two have split their recent meetings in major finals.
NEW YORK – Women’s US Open final odds favor back-to-back defending champion Aryna Sabalenka (-145) against new World No. 1 Elena Rybakina. The top two players in the world meet in a Grand Slam final for the second time this season, with Rybakina having the edge in the 2026 Australian Open earlier this year.
Aryna Sabalenka Vs Elena Rybakina Betting Odds
| Player | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | -1.5 (-115) | -145 | O 23.5 (-110) |
| Elena Rybakina | +1.5 (-115) | +120 | U 23.5 (-120) |
While Sabalenka didn’t look as dominant as she usually does early on in the tournament, she’s only dropped one set en route to the US Open final. Sabalenka looked incredible in her 7-5, 6-2 semifinals victory over Jessica Pegula, where she could’ve rolled even easier had she not posted 22 errors. Her tennis betting odds show it’s Sabalenka’s tournament to lose as she has plenty of motivation in this familiar head-to-head clash with Rybakina.
Sabalenka Looks For Fifth Career Major Title
Rybakina surpassed Sabalenka as the World No. 1 after her quarterfinals victory over Qinwen Zheng. Sabalenka also looks to become the first woman to three-peat at the US Open since Serena Williams did it from 2012-14, offering plenty of motivation to cash her -145 moneyline odds and join historic company.
Over the last four years, Sabalenka has reached the final of every Grand Slam tournament on hard courts. A win on Saturday would be her fifth major victory over that stretch and a third-consecutive US Open victory.
Aryna Sabalenka Hard Court Dominance
| Event | Finish (Opponent) |
|---|---|
| 2026 Australian Open | 2 (Elena Rybakina) |
| 2025 US Open | 1 (Amanda Anisimova) |
| 2025 Australian Open | 2 (Madison Keys) |
| 2024 US Open | 1 (Jessica Pegula) |
| 2024 Australian Open | 1 (Qinwen Zheng) |
| 2023 US Open | 2 (Coco Gauff) |
| 2023 Australian Open | 1 (Elena Rybakina) |
Saturday marks Sabalenka’s fourth-consecutive US Open final, the first woman to do so since Serena Williams in 2011-14. Rybakina has impressed through her run to the US Open final, but she needed back-to-back comeback victories after dropping the first set to Qinwen Zheng and Coco Gauff.
There are +110 legal sports betting for Saturday’s final to go over 2.5 sets. Rybakina and Sabalenka’s recent matches only lasted two sets in four of their last six meetings.
