2026 NFL Mock Draft Based On The Betting Odds

Written By:

Sam Profeta

Published On:

April 21, 2026 2:55 PM

2026 NFL Mock Draft Based On The Betting Odds
  • Fernando Mendoza is locked in at the number one pick at -20000 odds.
  • Arvell Reese has -400 to be drafted second overall.
  • David Bailey has +115 odds to be the third overall pick.
  • Jeremiyah Love is favored to be the fourth overall pick at -125 odds.
  • Sonny Styles has +200 odds to be the fifth overall pick.

PITTSBURGH, Pa. – We are officially in NFL Draft week, and the mock drafts continue to pour in with several names being switched in and out of different positions.

Legal sports betting sites have set their own 2026 NFL mock draft for the better part of the first round, having set odds on not just the top-5 picks, but nearly halfway through the opening round.

NFL Draft Odds: #1 Pick

  • Fernando Mendoza (IND) -20000
  • Arvell Reese (OSU) +8500
  • Caleb Downs (OSU) +12500
  • Carnell Tate (OSU) +12500
  • Cashius Howell (TAM) +12500
  • David Bailey (STA) +12500

Starting with the NFL odds of being drafted first overall, Fernando Mendoza is as sure a thing as there has ever been to land with the Raiders with massive -20000 odds. The Heisman Trophy winner is expected to step in and start right away.

NFL Draft #2 Pick Odds

  • Arvell Reese (OSU) -400
  • David Bailey (STA) +250
  • Rueben Bain Jr. (MIA) +7500
  • Sonny Styles (OSU) +7500
  • Jeremiyah Love (ND) +8000
  • Ty Simpson (ALA) +8000

There has been some controversy with the second pick, with several mock drafts having both Arvell Reese and David Bailey being selected here to the New York Jets. More recent scouting news has led to Reese being the guy the Jets select here.

NFL Draft #3 Pick Odds

  • David Bailey (STA) +115
  • Arvell Reese (OSU) +245
  • Jeremiyah Love (ND) +325
  • Francis Mauigoa (MIA) +850
  • Sonny Styles (OSU) +1800
  • Rueben Bain Jr. (MIA) +2200

With Reese being favored at two, Bailey would ultimately land at the third pick with the Arizona Cardinals. Jeremiyah Love, though, has quietly crept up though as the only other player with odds under +500 to be selected third overall.

NFL Draft #4 Pick Odds

  • Jeremiyah Love (ND) -125
  • David Bailey (STA) +400
  • Sonny Styles (OSU) +500
  • Arvell Reese (OSU) +700
  • Carnell Tate (OSU) +1000
  • Rueben Bain Jr. (MIA) +1800

No controversy here, Love is the heavy odds-on favorite to be the first running back taken off the board. He is arguably the best back in this draft class, and the Tennessee Titans have been desperately trying to fill the hole that Derrick Henry left them two seasons ago.

NFL Draft #5 Pick Odds

  • Sonny Styles (OSU) +200
  • Jordyn Tyson (ASU) +350
  • Caleb Downs (OSU) +400
  • Francis Mauigoa (MIA) +750
  • Jeremiyah Love (ND) +800
  • Carnell Tate (OSU) +1500

Rounding out the top-5 is linebacker Sonny Styles out of Ohio State, who is Arvell Reese’s teammate. The Giants just traded away Dexter Lawrence, who was one of their leaders on defense, for the #10 pick. Picking up an explosive linebacker in Styles would help fill the void that Lawrence left behind.

Picks 6-16

  • #6 Cleveland Browns: WR Carnell Tate +300
  • #7 Washington Commanders: WR Carnell Tate +275
  • #8 New Orleans Saints: WR Jordyn Tyson +225
  • #9 Kansas City Chiefs: CB Mansoor Delane +425
  • #10 New York Giants: S Caleb Downs +300
  • #11 Miami Dolphins: CB Mansoor Delane +450
  • #12 Dallas Cowboys: CB Mansoor Delane +600
  • #13 Los Angeles Rams: WR Makai Lemon +210
  • #14 Baltimore Ravens: IOL Olaivavega Ioane +240
  • #15: Tampa Bay Buccaneers: TE Kenyon Sadiq +650
  • #16 New York Jets: CB Jermod McCoy +650

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Ben Fiore

Sam Profeta

Samuel has been writing professionally for 4 years. He comes from a sports writing background where he enjoys writing mostly about basketball and football both professional and collegiate. He is a recent graduate of Florida State University where he majored in Editing, Writing and Media with a minor in Communications. During his free time, you can find him watching or playing sports as well as playing videogames and listening to music.