Adebayo & Davis the Best Bets for NBA Play-In Games Tonight

• Bam Adebayo, Kel’el Ware are set to have a big night in Clint Capela’s absence. Bet on each to go over their rebound totals of 9.5 and 8.5.
• Bet on Anthony Davis to go over 27.5 points against a Memphis team he dropped 40 points against in December.

ATLANTA – The eighth seed is on the line tonight for both the Eastern and Western Conferences in the NBA, as the Play-In Tournament wraps up with the Hawks hosting the Heat and the Mavericks visiting the Grizzlies.

Heat vs Hawks Game Odds

Atlanta lost their first game of the Play-In Tournament to the Magic 120-95, while the Heat defeated the Bulls 109-90, earning a chance to claim the eighth seed.

The two teams faced off four times during the regular season, with the Hawks taking the first two games and the Heat winning the next two.

Both teams rank in the bottom half of the league in offensive efficiency, but Miami ranks 10th in defensive efficiency while Atlanta ranks just 20th.

Miami should have an advantage on the boards with Clint Capela being out for the Hawks, leaving Onyeka Okongwu and Mouhamed Gueye in the frontcourt. Expect Bam Adebayo (-130) and Kel’el Ware (+115) to go over their rebound totals of 9.5 and 8.5, respectively.

An @emoryhealthcare injury report for tomorrow’s game vs. Miami:

Trae Young (right Achilles tendinitis): Probable

Kobe Bufkin (right shoulder surgery): Out
Clint Capela (left fourth metacarpal ligament sprain): Out
Jalen Johnson (left shoulder surgery): Out
Larry Nance Jr.… pic.twitter.com/dtKCKr5wkT

— Atlanta Hawks (@ATLHawks) April 17, 2025

Both times that the Heat have qualified for the Play-In Tournament (2023 and 2024), they were able to advance to the playoffs. Since Erik Spoelstra became the head coach in 2008, Miami has qualified for the playoffs 11 times in 16 seasons.

Bet on Miami to upset the Hawks at home and earn a playoff spot, despite finishing tenth in the East during the regular season. Legal sports betting sites list them at even odds to win outright.

Mavericks vs Grizzlies Game Odds

The Mavericks have been wildly unpredictable throughout the season, largely due to injuries. Anthony Davis, Daniel Gafford, and Dereck Lively all missed significant stretches of the season, and Kyrie Irving has been ruled out for the year with a torn ACL.

The Grizzlies have been just as unpredictable, dropping from the second seed all the way to the eighth seed in the West in just over a month. They fired head coach Taylor Jenkins before the beginning of the Play-In Tournament.

The season series between the two teams went 3-1 in favor of Memphis, with the Mavericks only win coming back in December. However, Anthony Davis was not active for any of those games.

In two games against Memphis this season, while Davis was playing for the Lakers, he posted a stat line of 21 points, 14 rebounds, and 3 assists in the first matchup and 40 points, 16 rebounds, and 2 assists in the second.

Expect Davis to clear his point total, set at 27.5 points (-125) on NBA betting sites, and bet on the Mavericks to cover the 6.5-point spread (-115).

News tags: Anthony Davis | Atlanta Hawks | Bam Adebayo | Chicago Bulls | Clint Capela | Dallas Mavericks | Daniel Gafford | Dereck Lively | Erik Spoelstra | Kel’el Ware | Kyrie Irving | Los Angeles Lakers | Memphis Grizzlies | Miami Heat | Mouhamed Gueye | NBA | Onyeka Okongwu | Orlando Magic | Play-in tournament | Taylor Jenkins