• At +240 odds, 251-300 passing yards is the favored position for Patrick Mahomes.
  • There are +270 odds for Mahomes to throw 301-350 yards.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have the number one passing defense in the NFL.

KANSAS CITY, Mo. – Player prop odds for Patrick Mahomes are looking at his exact yardage range and it seems as if many are discounting the Philadelphia Eagles passing defense which is ranked first in the league in the regular season and playoffs.

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yard Range

  • 200 Or Less +570
  • 201-250 +350
  • 251-300 +240
  • 301-350 +270
  • 351 Or More +250

To put into perspective how dominant the Eagles defense was this season, they allowed only one QB, Dak Prescott, to throw for over 250 yards all season. In the regular season, they allowed opposing QBs to throw for just 179.8 yards per game and have been locked in through the playoffs allowing 96 passing yards per game.

Granted, the Eagles haven’t faced a quarterback of Mahomes’ caliber all season and many should take into consideration that he does lead the NFL in passing yards at 5,250.

Using process of elimination, bettors could cut out Mahomes’ Super Bowl prop odds of going for 200 yards or less already being that he has only done so eight times in his five years as a starter and just once in his 13 playoff games. Also, 351 or more yards could be overlooked even at +250 odds as the Eagles haven’t let that up all season and especially will not let that up on the biggest stage of the year.

The Golden Odds

The odds on legal sports betting sites that should be honed in on are the +240 odds for Mahomes to throw between 251-300 yards and the +270 odds on him going for 301-350 yards. That comes because in his 13 career playoff games leading up to Super Bowl 57, 10 of them have been within that 100-yard range.

It is also worth noting that in Mahomes’ last two Super Bowl games in 2019 and 2020, he threw between 251-300 passing yards.

Patrick Mahomes to throw between 251-300 yards

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