- The Dallas Cowboys are 7-1 against the spread this season and are 9-point favorites at home against the Atlanta Falcons.
- Both the Detroit Lions and Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the Under consistently this season and they face one another Week 10.
- The Cleveland Browns are 2.5-point underdogs against the New England Patriots but recently beat the Cincinnati Bengals when 2-point underdogs on Cincinnati.
DALLAS – Four NFL games in Week 10 are seeing a lot of action and pooling these into a single parlay will net major returns.
The Dallas Cowboys covering the -9 spread against the Atlanta Falcons is getting 59% of total bets and the Cleveland Browns +115 odds to upset the New England Patriots at Foxborough is seeing 58% of total bets and 53% of the total betting handle.
Additionally, the Detroit Lions vs. Pittsburgh Steelers and Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts games are seeing the Under for total points getting a lot of action at legal betting sites.
Why The Cowboys Can Cover
The Dallas Cowboys are 7-1 against the spread this season, only failing to cover in the upset loss to the Denver Broncos in Week 9.
Atlanta Falcons Vs. Dallas Cowboys, Sun, Nov 14, 1 p.m. EST, FOX
- Moneyline: Dallas -430, Falcons +320
- Spread: Dallas -9.0
- Totals: O/U 54.5
The Atlanta Falcons on the other hand have struggled against the spread this season, going 4-4 against the spread. The Falcons average 21.9 PPG and give up 27.5 PPG. The Cowboys average 30.1 PPG and give up 24.0.
Dallas’s average win margin is +6.1 but this jumps to +9.5 at home. The Falcons’ win margin this season is -6.5.
While the spread is set relatively high at -9, the fact that 59% of bets are taking Dallas to cover shows that NFL betting fans are confident in the Cowboys to get it done at home.
Why Cleveland Can Pull The Upset
Cleveland Browns Vs. New England Patriots, Sun, Nov 14, 1 p.m. EST, CBS
- Moneyline: Patriots -135, Browns +115
- Spread: Patriots -2.5
- Totals: O/U 45.0
The Cleveland Browns may be 1-2 as road underdogs this season, but they are coming off of a 41-16 road upset win against the Cincinnati Bengals who were 2-point favorites at home.
The Patriots have been home favorites three times this season and they have lost two of these games. In the losses, the Patriots were 3.5-point favorites and 3-point favorites respectively. In their one win, they were 7-point favorites at home.
This is the lowest home spread for the Patriots this season and their performance in their previous matchups shows that if sportsbooks set the spread low, the Patriots are vulnerable for an upset.
Why The Under Can Hit
Detroit Lions Vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, Sun, Nov 14, 1 p.m. EST, FOX
- Moneyline: Steelers -380, Lions +290
- Spread: Steelers -8.5
- Totals: O/U 42.5
The Detroit Lions are 5-1 in their last six games with hitting the Under. The Steelers have fared similarly, 5-2-1 with hitting the Under this season.
While sportsbooks have adjusted and set the total to just 42.5, both teams have hit the Under in low set games already this season.
The Lions hit the Under against the Chicago Bears where the total was set to 41.5. The Steelers hit the Under against the Cincinnati Bengals with the total points set at 42.
The Lions average just 16.8 PPG and the Steelers average 20.1. If both teams score their averages, then the Under will hit.
Jacksonville Jaguars Vs. Indianapolis Colts, Sun, Nov 14, 1 p.m. EST, CBS
- Moneyline: Colts -480, Jaguars +350
- Spread: Colts -10
- Totals: O/U 47.5
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 6-2 with hitting the Under this season and most of their game totals have been set lower than 47.5.
The Jaguars average just 16.5 PPG and even when they allow opponents to score a lot of points, Jaguars’ games continue to hit the Under because the Jags struggle to score in those games. For example, the Jaguars 7-31 loss to the Seattle Seahawks hit the Under the 44.5-point total.
The Indianapolis Colts are just 3-6 with hitting the Under this season but have shut down bad teams. Indianapolis beat the Houston Texans 31-3, for example.
The Colts average 27.2 PPG and if both teams score their average, the Under will hit.
Week 10 Parlay Bet Slip – Final Odds: +1396
- Cowboys -9 (-110)
- Browns (+115)
- Lions vs. Steelers Under 42.5 (-110)
- Jaguars vs. Colts Under 47.5 (-110)
With these wagers, the final odds are set at +1396 which would see $69 off of a $5 bet, $139 off of a $10 bet, $348 off of a $25 bet, $697 off of a $50 bet, and $1,395 off of a $100 wager.
Coming from a background in narrative-based writing, Giovanni strives to write stories that will keep the reader engaged. Although he does pride himself in being accurate, how the story is told is also very important to him. When he’s not keeping readers up to date on sports betting laws and legislation, you can find him writing and recording music, playing videogames, or engaged in heated sports debates with his friends.