Carlos Alcaraz

  • Novak Djokovic has +220 odds to win the 2023 French Open despite his struggles on clay.
  • Holger Rune’s better performance on clay courts give value to his +1400 French Open odds.
  • Carlos Alcaraz is the favorite to win the event at +125 odds.

PARIS2023 French Open odds favor Carlos Alcaraz (+125), the man who became the youngest ever to reach a World No.1 ranking in men’s tennis. Current World No. 1 Novak Djokovic has the second shortest odds at +220, but better value can be found lower on the odds board with Holger Rune.

2023 Men’s French Open Odds

  • Carlos Alcaraz+125
  • Novak Djokovic +220
  • Rafael Nadal +400
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas +900
  • Holger Rune +1400
  • Jannik Sinner +1400
  • Casper Ruud +1800
  • Alexander Zverev +2500
  • Daniil Medvedev +2800
  • Andrey Rublev +3000

Novak Djokovic’s recent play on clay courts make him fade-worthy for the 2023 French Open. Although fading the World No. 1 sounds odd, Djokovic performs far better on hard or grass surfaces than clay.

In comparison to his two career French Open wins, Novak Djokovic has won the Australian Open (hard court) 10 times and Wimbledon (grass court) seven times. Just this season, he has a 15-1 record on hard courts and a 2-2 record on clay.

The drop off in success for Djokovic on clay courts is being overlooked by legal tennis betting sites, who list his French Open odds at +220.

Fade Djokovic at +220, Take Holger Rune at +1400

In contrast, Holger Rune is being undervalued by legal online betting sites at +1400 despite his great play on a clay surface. In his last two events on clay, Rune made it to appeared in the finals twice, winning one at the BMW Open in Munich.

Holger Rune’s game is best on a clay court, representing an 8-2 record on clay this season.

Rune beat Novak Djokovic at ATP Rome (clay court), the same player he defeated in the Rolex Paris Masters last season. Another victory against the World No. 1 may shorten Holger Rune’s French Open odds soon.

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