Ravens Favored Over Steelers For 1st Time In Playoffs

by | Jan 6, 2025 10:45 am | Sports Betting | 0 comments

Ravens Favored Over Steelers For 1st Time In Playoffs

NFL Playoffs - Ravens Vs Steelers

  • Use this historical reference as the Ravens Steelers Wild Round odds adjust during the week.
  • Past results for the Ravens and Lamar Jackson vs the Steelers haven’t shown much success.

BALTIMORE – Saturday will mark the first time the Ravens are favored over the Steelers in the playoffs in their team’s history.

Sitting at -9.5 for the opening line, the Ravens will have a lot to overcome as the likely public bet. While Pittsburgh covering and the over have been a popular bet in the past, these trends date back to the early 2000s and 2010s for the most part.

Steelers-Ravens Playoff Betting History

Year Spread Total Score Result
2015 PIT -3 47 BAL 30-17 Baltimore Cover, Push
2011 PIT -3 38 PIT 31-24 Pittsburgh Cover, Over
2009 PIT -6 35.5 PIT 23-14 Pittsburgh Cover, Over
2002 PIT -5.5 32 PIT 27-10 Pittsburgh Cover, Over

These divisional opponents face each other twice a year, but even more recently, results for the Ravens don’t paint a good picture. In fact, the Ravens are 2-8 against the Steelers over the last 10 games, covering in only those two games as well. With the under hitting in eight of the matchups, it has become whoever scores 17 points, wins.

But legal sports betting sites set an over under for both teams much higher than this mark.

Team Points Projection

  • Steelers Over 17.5 +100
  • Ravens Over 28.5 +110
  • Steelers Under 17.5 -130
  • Ravens Under 28.5 -145

This wildcard matchup shows us a different look with an over under at 45.5, a spread in favor of Baltimore by 9.5 points, and Lamar Jackson actually playing. Just check out how many games Jackson has missed against Pittsburgh in his career.

  • 2018 season (2 games): 21 total snaps, not the starter
  • Dec 2019: Inactive, Week 17
  • Dec 2020: Inactive, COVID
  • Jan 2022: Inactive, Week 17
  • 2022 Season (2 games): Inactive For Both
  • Jan 2024: Inactive, Week 17

In reality, Lamar has started and played a full game against the Steelers six times throughout the 14 matchups since he’s been on the roster. But while he holds a 2-4 record straight up, his numbers aren’t the best either.

Game Pass Yards TDs-INT Rush Yards
12/2024 Ravens win 34-17 207 3-1 22
11/2024 Ravens lose 18-16 207 1-1 46
10/2023 Ravens lose 17-10 236 0-1 45
12/2021 Ravens lose 20-19 253 1-1 55
11/2020 Ravens lose 28-24 208 2-2 65
10/2019 Ravens win 26-23 161 1-3 70

As more player props on Lamar Jackson for the Wild Card Round get released from NFL sportsbooks, expect to see lower-than-usual numbers…or an early opportunity to fade him. One bet I’ll be taking is Jackson to throw an interception – something he has done in every game against Pittsburgh and will likely have odds posted around +115.

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