- Sabalenka is +350 to win a third straight US Open after taking the 2024 and 2025 titles.
- Coco Gauff and Iga Swiatek follow at +450 each, both former champions without a repeat title.
- Gauff enters off a Cincinnati Open title while Sabalenka lost in the round of 16 there to Sara Bejlek.
- Jessica Pegula is next at +1000 after beating Swiatek in the Cincinnati semifinals and reaching the final.
NEW YORK – Aryna Sabalenka opens the US Open women’s odds as the +350 favorite for a third straight title, with 2022 champion Iga Swiatek and 2023 champion Coco Gauff next on the board at +450 apiece as the main draw begins Sunday.
Two Major Champions On The Next Line
Swiatek and Gauff are the only players left in the field who have already won this tournament. Swiatek took her first US Open in 2022, beating Ons Jabeur in the final for her third Grand Slam title overall. Gauff broke through the following year, rallying from a set down to beat Sabalenka 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 in the 2023 final for her first major.
Sabalenka has won the two since, beating Jessica Pegula in 2024 and Amanda Anisimova in 2025 to become the first woman to win back-to-back US Open titles since Serena Williams closed out a three-peat of her own in 2014, a run that now anchors the legal tennis betting market behind her bid for a third.
Cincinnati Flipped The Form Line
The tournament’s last full hard-court field before New York went to Gauff, not Sabalenka. Sara Bejlek beat the top seed 7-6(7), 6-4 in the Cincinnati Open round of 16, ending Sabalenka’s tournament before the quarterfinals.
Pegula then beat Swiatek in the semifinals, and Gauff closed out her second Cincinnati title by beating Pegula 6-2, 6-4 in the final, the first all-American women’s final at the event in 56 years. That result puts a Cincinnati champion and a Cincinnati finalist on the board directly behind the woman who lost before the quarterfinals there.
Where The Board Stands
Bovada has Sabalenka favored in Legal US Open betting over a field carrying two Grand Slam winners in the next two spots:
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | +350 |
| Coco Gauff | +450 |
| Iga Swiatek | +450 |
| Jessica Pegula | +1000 |
| Naomi Osaka | +1100 |
Sabalenka’s number implies about 22 percent, still the shortest price on the board despite the Cincinnati loss. Gauff and Swiatek sit next at +450 apiece, a price that puts each just above 18 percent by the same math.
The gap is thin enough that neither needs to solve Sabalenka specifically to cash a ticket – either just has to beat the field in New York, on a surface where Sabalenka has already shown this month she can lose a straight-sets match to the wrong opponent on the wrong day.
What’s Next
The 2026 US Open main draw opens Sunday at the USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center. Sabalenka is seeded No. 1 ahead of Elena Rybakina, Pegula and Gauff, while Swiatek is seeded No. 8. The women’s final is set for Sept. 12, with markets across the site’s online sports betting coverage moving as the draw plays out through the fortnight.
