- Serena Williams has +4000 odds to win Wimbledon in her return to professional tennis, but should you bet this number?
- The case for Serena to win it is that she chose Wimbledon for her return deliberately, she’s won seven Wimbledon titles, she’s beaten top talent while rusty late in her career.
- As for why she won’t, some top reasons include: no singles experience in last four years, her last time at Wimbledon was ugly, and no woman has ever won Wimbledon as a wild card.
LONDON – Serena Williams returns to Wimbledon with +4000 odds to win her 24th Grand Slam title. It’s been four years since Williams played a competitive singles match, but is the 44-year-old worth a shot for old times’ sake?
Case For Serena Winning Wimbledon At +4000
Serena’s +4000 Wimbledon odds put her at 16th on the board, higher than notable players like No. 12 ranked Belinda Bencic (+6000), No. 14 ranked Jasmine Paolini (+10000), and No. 16 ranked Diana Shnaider (+8000). Williams’ pricing could be inflated because of the public, but it’s no coincidence that her return to professional tennis comes at the All England Club.
She’s won seven Wimbledon titles and reached 11 finals in her career, enough to give her confidence to go on a run in the 2026 tournament. While many may be concerned about her form, she proved she still has it in her last singles event when she took down the No. 2 ranked Anett Kontaveit at the 2022 US Open.
She returned to the court in June playing doubles with Victoria Mboko at Queen’s Club, where they earned a win before Mboko suffered an injury. Serena then partnered with Karolina Muchova in Berlin, but the duo fell in the first round.
For Serena, there’s no pressure and nothing to lose at Wimbledon, as the main thing is her kids will get to watch her play. Perhaps that motivation can reignite that competitive fire and see Serena go on a legendary run as a +4000 tennis betting longshot.
Why She Won’t
Since her last Grand Slam title at the 2017 Australian Open, Serena has given birth twice. She made four Grand Slam finals (2 Wimbledon, 2 US Open) since her first comeback to the sport in 2018, but lost every final.
Serena suffered first-round defeats in her last two Wimbledon appearances, in 2021 and 2022, and her unseeded status means she could face one of the top seeds early in the tournament. That will be determined once the Wimbledon draw is announced on Friday at 5 a.m. ET.
There are plenty of uncomfortable truths that make Serena’s return to glory unlikely, but none greater than returning to one of the sport’s greatest stages without playing a singles match to shake the rust off. That’s why even her +4000 legal sports betting odds feel shorter than her realistic chances, but if anyone can pull it off, it’s Serena Williams.
