- Mattress Mack is back in the limelight, this time betting $2 million on the TCU Horned Frogs to beat the Georgia Bulldog in the National Championship Game to win $9.5 million.
- The famous legal sports bettor may have caused the line to shift, costing bettors a nearly 20% return on moneyline bets on TCU.
- Betting the National Championship game to go over 63 points is likely a better TCU-related bet than moneyline now, based on the likelihood the bet hits and the game script for TCU wins.
INGLEWOOD, Calif. – Mattress Mack is at it again, betting more than $2 million on the TCU Horned Frogs to beat the favored reigning National Champion Georgia Bulldogs in the College Football National Championship to win over $9.5 million.
Mattress Mack is the most famous sports bettor in the world currently, spending his loose change he has laying around from his record-setting $75 million win on the Houston Astros to win the 2022 World Series.
Should Player Trail the Mattress Mack-back Horned Frogs?
TCU is currently a 12-point underdog against Georgia, with that line having shifted from 13.5 points at Bovada.
That change at the legal sports betting site may even be attributed to large wagers placed McIngvale himself, with the ripple effect of his bet affecting the odds on the TCU vs Georgia game everywhere.
The line shift has moved TCU from +400 on the moneyline to +330 at Bovada.
National Championship Game Odds at Bovada
|TCU||+12.0 (-110)||330||O63.0 (-110)|
|Georgia||-12.0 (-110)||-440||U63.0 (-110)|
Mattress Mack has a well-known blind faith in Texas-based sports teams and has caused payouts on the Horned Frogs to decrease by nearly 20%, likely making Sonny Dykes, Max Duggan, and the rest of the Hyptnotoads too risky to bet on with the decreased payout.
Betting on the National Championship Game Total
Players may have their own allegiances to either, but for people that want a bet more likely to cash that is connected to a TCU victory, betting the over may be the best option.
With Max Duggan as their starter, TCU games have gone over 63 points nine times in 13 games.
Georgia and TCU also both rank inside the top eight scoring offenses in College Football this season, both averaging over 39.0 points per game.
On the other hand, Georgia’s defense only allows 14.79 points per game (Fifth nationally). That means for the Bulldogs to win, they likely held TCU to a relatively low-scoring affair and the under most likely hit.
TCU’s defense held opponents to 26.43 points per game, which was good for 64th nationally.
That offense and defensive combination is largely why Georgia is the favorite, although TCU needs to just look at their last opponent’s national rankings to see similar numbers:
- Michigan Wolverine Offense: 40.4 Points Per Game (6th)
- Michigan Wolverine Defense: 16.07 Points Per Game (7t)
TCU has a history of beating “Complete Teams,” which means Mattress Mack may be on to something with his large wager on TCU.
Despite that, it is a much better to simply bet on the over instead of the Horned Frogs straight up based on the higher likelihood of success.
Are you trailing or fading Mattress Mack’s bet on TCU in the National Championship Game?
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News tags: College Football | College Football Playoff | Georgia Bulldogs | Mattress Mack | Max Dugan | Sonny Dykes | TCU Horned Frogs
Brett is a passionate sports writer who majored in Sport Management at Florida State University. He combines his knowledge of stats with his understanding of game theory to find the best values when sports betting. Brett enjoys golfing, playing cornhole, and hanging out by the pool when he’s not locked in watching games.