Belmont Stakes

  • Preakness Stakes’ entries tend to do poorly.
  • The betting favorite at post time doesn’t win too often.
  • Horses cannot win this race wire-to-wire.

ELMONT, N.Y – The 2021 Belmont Stakes might be one of the few times a bettor may place a wager on horse racing. For those unfamiliar with the sport or those just looking for some extra information, we have some betting trends to say what history says.

Note: The 2020 Belmont Stakes will not be considered in these stats as the race was shortened and ran at a different point in the season due to COVID-19.

2021 Belmont Stakes Betting Odds

  • Essential Quality +225
  • Rombauer +375
  • Hot Rod Charlie +400
  • Rock Your World +425
  • Known Agenda +600
  • Bourbonic +1400
  • Overtook +2200
  • France Go De Ina +2500

Horses Who Ran In The Preakness Struggle

Trainers and owners tend to skip the Preakness if their horse doesn’t win the Kentucky Derby to give the horse an extra couple of weeks of rest, and the stats show it’s a smart decision. Over the last 14 years, just two horses that raced in the Preakness won the Belmont and both were Triple Crown winners.

The only horses entered in the Belmont that raced in the Preakness is the winner Rombauer and the longest shot on the board in France Go De Ina.

The Betting Favorite Usually Doesn’t Win

Only four post-time favorites have won the Belmont over the past 25 years. Essential Quality is the current betting favorite and will likely retain the shortest odds by the time the race begins. Essential Quality was the post-time favorite in the Kentucky Derby and finished fourth.

Speed Doesn’t Necessarily Hold Up

Of the last 35 years of the event, only three horses have managed to wire the field. This isn’t too surprising since it is the longest race that the 3-year-olds will run. While things can change when the gates open, Rock Your World is predicted to be the speed of the race and should grab the lead early.

So… Who’s Left?

By the process of elimination horse racing bettors, if strictly following these trends, are left with Hot Rod Charlie, Known Agenda, Bourbonic, and Overtook. Overtook and Bourbonic are likely just not good enough to win which may leave legal sports bettors with just a couple of options.

However, rules are meant to be broken and trends can only hold up for so long. Essential Quality is firmly believed to be the best horse in the field, it’s just a matter of if he can hold up for a full mile and a half. We’ll find out soon.

How To Watch

The Belmont Stakes is scheduled to go off around 6:47 p.m. EST with coverage of the event on NBC.

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