- The Miami Dolphins are 2.5-point underdogs against the Atlanta Falcons but are getting 57% of total bets to win the game.
- Atlanta is seeing 60% of the bets and 62% of the total handle to cover the -2.5 spread.
- Most money is being put on the OVER 47 points total to hit.
MIAMI – The Miami Dolphins are getting the most wagers, as well as the sharp money in their hometown matchup against the Atlanta Falcons.
The Falcons are favored by 2.5-points but are seeing most of the handle for them to cover the spread. This is likely due to the better odds for them to cover.
The OVER is seeing the most bets along with the sharp money despite both teams hitting the UNDER more consistently. NFL fans legally betting on sports are banking on these teams to break their own trend.
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) October 22, 2021
Sharp Money On The Dolphins
Atlanta Falcons Vs. Miami Dolphins
- Atlanta Falcons -135
- Miami Dolphins +115
NFL sportsbooks report the Dolphins are seeing 57% of all bets for them to win straight up, as well as 64% of the total betting handle.
Miami has a 1-5 record and have lost their last 5 games. The Falcons have a 2-3 record on the season and are coming off of a 27-20 win against the New York Jets. Despite this, both casual and hardcore betting fans are leaning in on the Dolphins to pull of an upset.
The money moves to the other side when it comes to the 2.5-point spread, as sharp money and total bets are shifting in favor of the Falcons. Atlanta is seeing 60% of all bets and 62% of all money for them to cover.
Atlanta is just 2-5 in their last 7 games ATS and is 1-5 in their last 6 when they are seen as road favorites. Meanwhile, Miami is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games when facing a team with a losing road record.
The betting splits likely reflect the more profitable odds. With the spread set at under a field goal, sports bettors are leaning towards betting on Atlanta to cover as opposed to them outright winning. Atlanta has -135 odds to win, but -110 odds to cover.
The same reasonings can be used as to why betting on Miami to win makes more sense than betting on them to cover. Miami winning sees +115 odds, while them simply covering the spread is set at -110 odds.
The OVER Is Seeing The Most Action
The betting splits also show that the bulk of the action is going on this game hitting the OVER 47 game total. The OVER and UNDER are split at 50% of the total bets each, but 70% of the total betting handle is on the OVER. This shows that bigger bets are placed on this game to cover.
Miami has hit the UNDER 4 of their last 5 home underdog games and the Falcons have hit the UNDER in 5 of their last 7 road games.
The sharp gamblers are likely looking at this matchup, and how poorly both teams are defensively.
The Dolphins are near the bottom of the league in both total yards given up and total points per game given up. Miami has also given up the second most total points with 177.
The Falcons have given up 148 total points and are near the bottom of the league in yards allowed as well.
Two bad defensive teams who give up a lot of points could smash the OVER despite them not hitting the Over that often this season.
The game begins at 1:00 p.m. EST on Sunday and will be broadcast on FOX.
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Coming from a background in narrative-based writing, Giovanni strives to write stories that will keep the reader engaged. Although he does pride himself in being accurate, how the story is told is also very important to him. When he’s not keeping readers up to date on sports betting laws and legislation, you can find him writing and recording music, playing videogames, or engaged in heated sports debates with his friends.