- The Phoenix Mercury are one and a half point road dogs despite being four games ahead of the Golden State Valkyries.
- The Valkyries have gone 7-3 at home this season, including winning five of their last six home games.
SAN FRANCISCO – A key Western Conference clash in the WNBA is scheduled tonight as the Phoenix Mercury will visit the Golden State Valkyries in their inaugural season.
Mercury vs Valkyries Game Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mercury | +1.5 (-110) | EVEN | O 158.5 (-110) |
| Valkyries | -1.5 (-110) | -120 | U 158.5 (-110) |
Legal sports betting sites favor the Valkyries despite Phoenix sitting in sole possession of second place in the West.
Let’s take a look into why that might be and why bettors may want to ride with Golden State tonight.
Home vs Road Splits
Golden State has a winning record at home so far this season, going 7-3 at the Chase Center while the Mercury have gone 5-3 on the road, meaning both teams are comfortable where they are entering tonight’s game. However, the Valkyries have posted jarring improvements at home compared to being on the road in 2025.
While their scoring has been consistent, scoring about 80 points both at home and on the road, the difference defensively has been noticeable.
Though they have been elite defensively all season, now sitting with the second best defense in the league on a points per game basis, they have struggled to contain opponents on the road, allowing 83.4 points per game.
However, in games at home, they have held opponents to just 73.8 points per game, which would be the best in the league.
Although Phoenix has been solid on the road, their splits take a hit away from home as well, scoring about three points less and allowing about four more points per game in games not played in Phoenix.
Win vs Loss Margins
Both teams are no strangers to blowout wins and losses. In their 10 wins this season, Golden State has averaged a margin of victory of just under 14 points per game. Their average margin of victory in their seven home wins is right around that mark at about 14.5 points per game.
Meanwhile, despite having just six losses on the season, the Mercury have lost those games by about 10 points on average. Their three road losses have come by a total of 29 points, or about 9.7 points per game.
Couple this with the fact that Golden State has won five of their last six games at home (by an average of 14.6 points per game) and you have a recipe for a blowout.
Bettors looking to get into some WNBA action should pick the Valkyries to cover the 1.5-point spread (-110) at WNBA betting sites.
