- The Minnesota Lynx are favored by 7.5 points against the Phoenix Mercury in game two of the WNBA Semifinals.
- Napheesa Collier has averaged over 22 points per game this season and has -200 odds to score 20 points tonight.
- Natisha Hiedeman has -135 odds to score under 10 points tonight and has combined for only seven in her last two games.
MINNEAPOLIS – The Minnesota Lynx are 7.5-point favorites against the Phoenix Mercury in the second game of the WNBA Semifinals. The Lynx had no problem winning and covering against Phoenix in the first game of the series, with a final score of 82-69. The Lynx were favored by 9.5 points in that game.
In the first round of the playoffs, Minnesota crushed the Golden State Valkyries by 29 at home and won game two on the road by one point. This has been a theme in the regular season as well, with the Lynx outscoring their opponents by an average of 15.5 points at home and 8.4 on the road.
Over the regular season, Minnesota went 18-2 at home and 13-6 on the road.
Sportsbooks do not expect the Lynx to have any trouble moving on to the next round, as they are the heavy favorite to win the WNBA Finals (-290) and have been for the majority of the season.
- Napheesa Collier Over 19.5 Points -200
Napheesa Collier leads the Lynx this season with 22.9 points per game and has scored at least 20 in four of her last seven games. She is shooting over 58 percent in the postseason and is in a great spot to keep rolling tonight at home.
There are also alternative lines at most legal WNBA betting sites that have +105 odds for Collier to score 22 points or more in this postseason matchup.
- Natisha Hiedeman Under 9.5 Points -135
Natisha Hiedeman is coming off the bench for the Lynx and has only scored seven total points in her last two games. Even still, legal sports betting sites have her total set at 9.5. In the previous two matchups against the Mercury in the 2025 regular season, Hiedeman scored only four and six points.
