Donald Trump

  • The odds for the popular vote margin of victory favor the Democrats over the Republicans.
  • Odds are wide-ranging as the favorites begin at +725 while the longest odds extend to +5000.

WASHINGTON – As the presidential election begins to become the focus of the country, bettors have turned to political betting to meet their needs. One line, in particular, sets the popular vote margin of victory where even the shortest odds would give bettors a sizeable payout.

With three favorites at legal sportsbooks holding the top spot, the Democrats are favored in all of them at +725. These options include the Dems winning the popular vote by a 1.5%-3.0% margin, by a 3.0%-4.5% margin, by a 4.5%-6.0% margin.

In the past seven elections, the Democrats have won the popular vote six times. Twice, the popular vote for the Dems has won by a 1.5%-3.0% Margin.

The margin of victory has only been in the 3.0%-4.5% range once since 2002 (in 2012 when Barack Obama won over Mitt Romney). Likewise, the 4.5%-6.0% margin has only hit once in that last seven elections (in 1992 when Bill Clinton won over George H.W. Bush).

For bettors that are feeling lucky or want to avoid the chalk, there are many other political betting odds available for this line.

US Presidential Election 2020 – Popular Vote Margin Of Victory

  • Dems By 1.5% – 3.0% +725
  • Dems By 3.0% – 4.5% +725
  • Dems By 4.5% – 6.0% +725
  • Dems By Less Than 1.5% +900
  • Dems By 6.0% – 7.5% +900
  • GOP By Less Than 1.5% +1000
  • Dems By 7.5% – 9.0% +1000
  • GOP By 1.5% – 3.0% +1100
  • Dems By 10.5% Or More +1100
  • Dems By 9.0% – 10.5% +1500
  • GOP By 3.0% – 4.5% +2300
  • GOP By 4.5% – 6.0% +3000
  • GOP By 7.5% – 9.0% +3000
  • GOP By 6.0% – 7.5% +5000
  • GOP By 9.0% – 10.5% +5000
  • GOP By 10.5% Or More +5000

With odds extending this high, bettors have the ability to take multiple lines, which would reduce their final payout but increase their likelihood of winning the bet. Still, bettors who are looking to bet on the popular vote should take advantage sooner rather than later.

With news surrounding Joe Biden and Donald Trump making headlines at least once a week, expect these odds to change, potentially removing the longshot odds that would give sports bettors a nice payout.

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