- The favored team on Thanksgiving Day has a 19-14 record ATS since 2009.
- The Over has hit in 15/33 Thanksgiving Day games while the Under has hit 18/33 times.
- The Detroit Lions have a 6-5 record ATS in their last 11 Thanksgiving Day games.
DALLAS – The Thanksgiving Holiday is a special time and one of the biggest Thanksgiving traditions are the NFL games that are played every year.
This year due to the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic a lot will be different about the holiday, but the NFL games will still be played giving NFL bettors more games to bet on instead of just the typical single Thursday Night Football game.
Looking at the history of the NFL games on Thanksgiving, bettors will see there are some slight advantages. When betting against the spread (ATS) on Thanksgiving Day, the team favored at sportsbooks has a 19-14-record.
Being the home team as well as the favorite on Thanksgiving hasn’t translated to much success ATS. The home teams that are also the favorite at legal sportsbooks ATS on Thanksgiving Day have posted a 10-10 record.
The Lions and Cowboys are the two teams that will always have a game on Thanksgiving Day which is the NFL’s tradition. The Cowboys are 2-9 ATS in their last eleven Thanksgiving Day games. The Lions have been better covering with a 6-5 record ATS.
This year’s lineup of Thanksgiving games features the Houston Texans taking on the Detroit Lions while the Washington Football Team will have a Turkey Day NFC East showdown against the Dallas Cowboys.
The Ravens and Steelers AFC North matchup would have been the final game played Thursday evening but was postponed until Sunday.
Knowing the history of Thanksgiving game betting ATS bettors shouldn’t be afraid of taking the spread in the trio of games to be played Thursday.
Houston Texans vs. Detroit Lions @ 12:30 p.m. EST:
- Spread: Texans (-3)
- Moneyline: Texans (-150) vs. Lions (+130)
- O/U: 51.5
Winner: Texans ATS (-3). The Texans are a team that has improved as the season has gone along and the momentum from their win over the New England Patriots last week should carry over into this game.
The Lions and Texans have both struggled ATS this season. The Lions have posted a 4-6 record ATS while the Texans are 3-7 ATS. Roll the dice and take the Texans ATS here as they’ve seemed to have turned a corner during the second half of the season.
Washington Football Team vs. Dallas Cowboys @ 4:25 p.m. EST:
- Spread: Cowboys (-3)
- Moneyline: Washington (+140) vs. Cowboys (-160)
- O/U: 46.5
Winner: Washington ATS (-3). The Dallas Cowboys have been one of the worst teams to bet on to cover the spread this year as evidenced by their 2-8 record ATS.
Washington has posted a 4-5-1 mark ATS and with Alex Smith under center expect this to be a close game. Both teams’ defenses will be the difference in winning or losing this game.
In the last 10 NFL games between the Cowboys and Washington, Dallas has a 6-4 record ATS. Take Washington ATS here but it’s pretty much a coin toss.