Matt Stafford

  • Najee Harris and David Montgomery provide the best value at the running back position for Week 4 with their huge volume shares.
  • Matthew Stafford, who holds the best odds to win the 2021 NFL MVP, leads the quarterback position for DFS lineups as the Rams take on the Cardinals in Week 4.

NEW YORK – As Week 4 of the 2021 NFL season approaches, DFS players are looking for the best players to anchor their lineups at the skill positions.

There is a single clear top value play at quarterback and wide receiver in Week 4, as well as two running backs that have legitimate claims as the best value play for this week.

Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams (vs. Arizona Cardinals, $7800)

Matthew Stafford is the best value play at quarterback this week, being priced as the sixth-most expensive option at the position for Week 4 at $7800.

Last week against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Stafford completed 27 of his 38 passes for 343 yards and four touchdowns, besting both his passing yardage prop (318.5) and his total completions prop (26.5).

On the year, Stafford has maintained a 70.2% completion rate, tossing 9 touchdowns and just 1 interception, seeing his odds to win the 2021 NFL MVP award shoot to (+600), the best in the league.

This week, Stafford and the Rams take on the Arizona Cardinals as 4.5-point favorites. The matchup is looking to be a shootout, with a high points total set by legal sportsbooks at 55.

The Rams appear to be getting star running back Darrell Henderson Jr back this week, which could open up more opportunities for Stafford as the Cardinals will have to respect the running game.

Najee Harris, Pittsburgh Steelers (vs. Green Bay Packers, $8200)

Rookie running back Najee Harris finally broke out in Week 3. He tallied 14 carries for just 40 rushing yards, but saw ridiculous involvement in the passing game with a whopping 21 targets, hauling in 14 of them for 102 yards.

While he failed to surpass his total rushing yards prop (60.5), he easily exceeded his receptions prop (3.5) and his reception yards prop (25.5).

Harris is one of the few true every-down backs remaining in the NFL and his utilization in the passing game will keep him involved even in obvious passing situations.

The Steelers are 7-point underdogs this week against the Packers, which bodes well for Harris’ passing volume if the Steelers have to play catch-up.

While it is unreasonable to expect 21 targets in Week 4, expect Harris to be plenty involved in both the passing game and running game. Weekly double-digit targets could well be the norm, however, and as the only running back being utilized for the Steelers, he should see a healthy amount of carries as well.

As the fourth-most expensive running back ($8200), DFS players will have to pay up a bit, but he may even be undervalued at that price.

David Montgomery, Chicago Bears (vs. Detroit Lions, $7500)

David Montgomery checks in as the eighth-most expensive running back for Week 4 at $7500 for the Bears’ matchup against the Lions. The Lions have allowed 114.3 rushing yards per game in 2021.

Last week, Montgomery was heavily underutilized by the Bears, failing to reach his rushing attempts prop (15.5) or his rushing yards prop (58.5). The Bears were unable to get much going against the Browns, with the game script working heavily against Montgomery; however, that should change this week against the Lions.

The Bears have huge questions surrounding the quarterback position, which bodes well for his utilization against the Lions. The Bears are just 3-point favorites over the Lions, but Chicago will likely look to avoid turnovers from their quarterback(s) and feed Montgomery as much as possible.

DJ Moore, Carolina Panthers (vs. Dallas Cowboys, $7300)

Carolina Panthers wide receiver DJ Moore has taken a huge leap in 2021, pacing the team in targets (31), receptions (22), and reception yards (285) on the year.

Last week against the Houston Texans, Moore hauled in 8 of his 12 targets for 126 yards, easily surpassing his total receptions prop of 5.5.

The Panthers take on the Dallas Cowboys in Week 4, who have allowed 331 passing yards per game in 2021, the second-worst in the NFL. As the only real target for Panthers quarterback Sam Darnold, Moore should see a hefty target share.

At $7300, Moore is the 12th most expensive pass-catcher for Week 4, making him a huge value play for DFS lineups and a rock-solid WR1 for lineups that spent a large amount of capital at other positions.

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